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View Diary: California House Races 2014 (67 comments)

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  •  Great rundown (5+ / 0-)

    But several problems need mentioning.

    For CA-21, Michael Rubio was in the state senate, not assembly. That's Rudy Salas, and he might not run for a few cycles since assembly term limits are now 12 years instead of 6. Blong Xiong probably can't win a primary, and Fran Florez is too polarizing. Leticia Perez, anyone?

    For CA-36, there's no GOP primary; it's top-two, so a moderate Repubican can conceivably win. The GOP frontrunner seems to be current assemblyman Brian Nestande, who stepped down (or was ousted) from being assembly GOP caucus chair for voting to close a tax loophole.

    For CA-26, the most probable GOP candidate is assemblyman Jeff Gorell, who managed to hold on in a light blue district due to incumbency and his military background (he was sent to Iraq for a year while in office).

    For CA-52, Carl DeMaio is not moderate at all. The moderate in the 2012 mayoral race was Nathan Fletcher. DeMaio was actually the most conservative candidate.

    23, D, pragmatic progressive (-4.50, -5.18), CA-14.

    by kurykh on Mon Mar 18, 2013 at 10:43:26 AM PDT

    •  Yeah, that's the first time (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      lordpet8, trumpeter, Skaje

      I've seen Carl DeMaio referred to as moderate. Being gay and being quietly pro-gay rights doesn't make you a moderate. Outside of gay rights, I heard DeMaio described by locals as being to the right of Paul Ryan, or being a gay Paul Ryan.

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Mon Mar 18, 2013 at 12:08:04 PM PDT

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    •  I should have (0+ / 0-)

      Made it clearer about the GOP primary in CA-36, what I meant was that it is doubtful a far right candidate could lose in the GOP section of the top two because there are few moderates in the Inland Empire (unless moderate Democrats defect from Ruiz and support the moderate Republican.)

      Also, thanks for catching the CA-21 typo.

      As for DeMaio, good point, he is pretty conservative on a ton of issues but there are a few such as renewable energy where he agrees more with the Democrats.

      For more election analysis and redistricting maps, check out my blog http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/ CA-2 (former CA-6) College in CA-37. Go Trojans!!

      by Alibguy on Mon Mar 18, 2013 at 12:15:41 PM PDT

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    •  Strickland has hinted at running again in CA-26 (0+ / 0-)

      If he gets in again, Gorell would defer to him and Gorell hasn't ruled out running, but did say he wasn't interested in running in 2014.

      26, Male, CA-26, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

      by DrPhillips on Mon Mar 18, 2013 at 12:20:26 PM PDT

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