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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 3/28 (282 comments)

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  •  Oh and a few more things (2+ / 0-)
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    James Allen, ArkDem14

    On party registration while the state overall was 44.6% Dem 31.6% GOP, the 2nd and 10th were narrowly Dem pluralities while the 6th and 13th were somewhat wider. However, the 3rd, 7th, and 8th had a roughly 10% Dem advantage. On the flip side, the 9th had a wide GOP advantage.

    Somewhat surprisingly, a little over a majority of registered voters in the 4th district were black despite blacks making up just 33% of registered voters there. Perhaps that district could elect a black Democrat (probably from Durham) when David Price (age 72) eventually retires, though if Brad Miller made a come back he'd probably clean up.

    And finally, in 2008, Kay Hagan lost all 10 Romney districts in the state, but came within a few hundred votes of winning the 6th and 7th while clearing at least 47% in every other one. I'd be quite surprised if she carried the 7th especially this time as it's trending away from us and I can't see her winning by any more than 10% at most statewide.

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