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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 3/28 (282 comments)

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  •  The recall has nothing to do with it (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Stephen Wolf, jncca, wwmiv

    People for the most part don't look at their own state's economy in evaluating the economy.  They look at the national economy.  People in Florida by and large don't see the economy much differently from people in Wisconsin.  There can be occasional localized exceptions, but I think they're actually diminishing over the years as Presidential elections get more nationalized in every way.

    The fact is Floridians never liked Rick Scott but just didn't want to vote for Democrats in 2010, so they held their noses and voted for Scott.  I think Scott's image has been underwater perhaps his entire tenure, I'm not sure he even had any kind of "honeymoon" after he won.  Scott Walker didn't start that way, voters didn't personally dislike him even before they voted for him...or after.  So Walker got more benefit of doubt up front.  And on top of that I imagine their records are not identical, and accordingly voters in the two states don't view their Governor's record the same.

    Walker has never been as underwater as Scott, really at any point.  And Walker has never been underwater by very much, at times he was underwater.

    They're just not comparable.

    45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Thu Mar 28, 2013 at 07:37:34 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Emphasize this (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ArkDem14, Christopher Walker
      People for the most part don't look at their own state's economy in evaluating the economy.  They look at the national economy.
      This had been found over and over and over again in political science literature. Other local factors can make a difference, but it isn't the local economy. When economic factors have an effect on local races it is by and large the national economic condition.

      And might I add that this is actually contradictory to the "conventional wisdom"? So maybe there is value in political science research that Senators Coburn and Mikulski obviously don't see.

      23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

      by wwmiv on Thu Mar 28, 2013 at 08:48:10 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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