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View Diary: Are we blundering into a war with North Korea? (143 comments)

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  •  Kim is pissing off China (0+ / 0-)

    Really, the DPRK has become China's "bad penny". Xi seems to be ignoring it and letting the Foreign Ministry handle things although I'm sure he's engaged at a high level.

    Kim II was reliable in the sense he predictably used brinkmanship as a negotiating tactic, but would always reign it in once (a) he got what he wanted, or (b) China cut the power for a few days.

    Li'll Kim is, so far, pretty unreliable in the sense that: (a) seriously miscalculating what he has to negotiate with at this point, which is essentially zero; (b) over-plays his hand at every turn; (c) mistakes the ROTW for his own people; (d) keeps poking China, his only real retainer, in the eyes, and; (e) is, apparently, completely tone deff to both Russian and Chinese signals to reign it in.

    I conclude he is way over his head, and that is dangerous.

    The risk is he is so clueless and accident prone, something bad happens.

    However, in real terms, the nuclear threats are empty and can be ignored; what needs careful attention is the borders to ROK and China, where accidents could happen.

    I'm betting someone is going to shut his mouth soon and this will blow over, but it's not guaranteed.

    Dude is like a pudgy Michael Jackson, but maximum leader of a basket case country. Sad.

    What about my Daughter's future?

    by koNko on Sat Apr 06, 2013 at 11:05:01 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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