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View Diary: Did Gerrymandering Cost Dems the House? A 34-State Look at Alternative Nonpartisan Maps Suggests Yes (161 comments)

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    Stephen Wolf

    Think a commission IL would look more like this downstate.

    The two things I saw were the IL-17 and -12.

    17) QC-Peoria only happens in gerrymanders. Besides the Deere/Cat rivalry, they're distinct parts of the state (tell a Peorian they're in Western Illinois).

    More likely IL17 would combine the area between the Illinois and Mississippi (once referred to as "Forgottonia")with the QC and NW IL.

    12) The Metro East proper is split. This is the Metro East + Perry County.

    Wanted to see if this changed the partisan situation at all. Nope. IL13, 15, 16, 17 & 18 all go red. IL12 likely goes blue for another Congressman or so.

    IL-10 to IL-07 by way of -09, -17 and -18.

    by GaleForceBurg on Tue Apr 23, 2013 at 04:36:27 PM PDT

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    •  Thanks for drawing that (1+ / 0-)
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      your way makes more sense I suppose. Illinois was one of the states where I had the most trouble and was quite dissatisfied with the map.

      What did the Obama numbers come out to for your IL-10 as that one looks better for Dems than mine? Lake County just reminded me of Bucks County a lot in that, though it makes sense to split it intuitively, it's almost the perfect size for a district so I didn't. It's one of those regions where I'd totally ignore county lines, but I just can't see a commission doing it to that extent.

      •  It's 62.5 Obama '08. (1+ / 0-)
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        Stephen Wolf

        It'd be solid for Dold, keeping the ticket splitters at the south end.

        Lake is weird. I'm not satisfied with the Chicago area I drew there (why I ignored it). In CoI terms, there are two or three Lake Counties. Western Lake shares more with McHenry. Very exurban, lots of pockets of wealth. Eastern Lake has been developed for 150-odd years. It's much denser and shares more with northern Cook. Then there's Waukegan/North Chicago.

        Between the two maps, it's clear that a commission map of IL would produce about an 8-10 Dem seats. Illinois is a state where it's very true that Dem votes are inefficiently distributed.

        IL-10 to IL-07 by way of -09, -17 and -18.

        by GaleForceBurg on Tue Apr 23, 2013 at 05:53:17 PM PDT

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