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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 4/15 (278 comments)

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  •  poll numbers (1+ / 0-)
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    ArkDem14

    The Grits' poll numbers aren't that good. They're leading only in the maritimes, competitive in Ontario and Quebec, and getting dusted in the west.

    http://www.threehundredeight.com/

    Basically we're at Tories 31, Grits 28, NDP 27, Greens 7, Bloc 6.

    Last election: Tories 40 (166 seats), NDP 31 (103), Grits 19 (34), Bloc 6 (4), Greens 4 (1).

    If these poll numbers hold up, the result would almost certainly be a Grit-NDP coalition government. Of course things will change, but unless the Grits can get to around 40% of the vote they will either be out of power or in a coalition with the NDP. Assuming they're still in the 20s or 30s they should try to cooperate with the NDP before the election because (in the best case) they'll have to do it anyway after the election.

    SSP poster. 43, new CA-6, -0.25/-3.90

    by sacman701 on Mon Apr 15, 2013 at 09:35:44 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  oops (1+ / 0-)
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      MichaelNY

      Canada usually ends up with minority governments, like the Tories had before 2011. I don't know if they changed it up with the new law that says elections have to be every 4 years.

      SSP poster. 43, new CA-6, -0.25/-3.90

      by sacman701 on Mon Apr 15, 2013 at 09:51:07 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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