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View Diary: From Floods to Drought and Back: Global Weirding (78 comments)

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  •  The problems with electric cars remain the same (0+ / 0-)

    as always:

    1. Range
    2. Weight
    3. Recharge time
    4. Cost

    The Tesla S is a great example.
    Beautiful car.
    Lots of range (for an electric).
    Fast recharge capability.
    All of which comes at a price of more than $100,000.

    And that range is still 100 miles short of what my humble Hyundai can do while the fast recharge can deliver that shorter range 5-6 times more slowly than re-fueling our little flea.

    It's true that growing bio-mass takes land, but so do wind and solar installations  -- not to mention power lines to get that power where it needs to be, and storage facilities to flatten out fluctuations in sun and wind.

    Besides, electric isn't likely to take over all kinds of transportation.  I would be amazed, for example, to see battery powered airliners.  Jet and diesel fuel are kissing cousins so an infrastructure to support one supports the other.

    Which doesn't mean there isn't plenty of room for electric cars even if the next big thing in battery technology never happens.  Electric cars -- if they can get the weight and cost down -- are great commuter choices.  No waste while sitting at stop lights, optimal efficiency in stop and go driving.  A lot of drivers would be well-served by an electric car, especially those in two or more car families.

    LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

    by dinotrac on Thu Apr 25, 2013 at 10:32:41 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Tesla S = 1980s computer (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jilikins, Odysseus

      The electric car still has a lot of room to improve.  There are ultra capacitors and better battery techlogies remaining.  Nothing has been maxed out.

      Compare today's iPhone to a mid 80's computer like the Apple IIe.  Most of the problems you list will fade over time.

      Then, one must look at the application.  Yes my gasoline car can go 300 miles on one charge.  But in the 14 years I've owned it, only for a very few trips did I ever as that of it.  I live 4 miles from work, and like me, for most people a 100 mile range would fit 99% of their driving.  I would like to own one pure electric and one hybrid for interstate cruising.

      I agree with you for biofuel for airlines and industrial diesel.  Autos can be either pure electric or a diesel electric hybrid.

      •  It really isn't (0+ / 0-)

        While I agree there is more room for battery and related technologies like ultra-capacitors to grow, batteries represent a far more mature technology than did computers in the 1980s.  1980 was a bit more than 30 years removed from the first all-electronic Von Neumann computer, and the first laboratory tests of a standalone transistor. It was just over twenty years after the first laboratory integrated circuit,   and about ten years after the first 4-bit micro-processor was created.

        By contrast, the first four-wheel electric car was built 125 years ago, and two-wheel electric cycles go back 20 years before that.

        Add in the fact that many different kinds of batteries have been used in many different applications over that period and you can see that the comparison is not apt.

        LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

        by dinotrac on Thu Apr 25, 2013 at 11:34:13 AM PDT

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        •  I'm holding out hope for graphene batteries (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          jilikins

          They might give an order of magnitude improvement, which would scale the Chevy Volt 40 mile pack to 400 miles.  Don't give up hope.  When people stop trying or think there's no point, that's what keeps us stuck with 19th century energy sources.

          But again, pure electric might not be needed.  My next car probably will be a Chevy Volt.  I won't use a drop of gasoline for 95% of my driving, but when I go to see my parents 180 miles away, then the gas engine is there.  And at $4 a gallon, break even time is 3-4 years.  Not bad.

          But since the goal is C02 reduction, going hybrid-electric will cut my C02 95%.  If every car in America was like the Volt and got the first 40 miles/day C02 free, we probably wouldn't have a C02 problem.

          •  Don't give up hope by an means. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            jilikins

            The beauty of unexpected breakthroughs is that they are unexpected.

            It's easy to forget, however, just how much energy is required to propel a car, and what that means in terms of batteries.

            You're right about the volt, though.
            And -- in europe, they've got some diesel cars that hit 80mpg.

            Imagine an inline diesel hybrid -- junior size version of a diesel locomotive.

            Cutting those numbers is a good thing, even if the way we do it isn't quite what we had pictured.

            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

            by dinotrac on Thu Apr 25, 2013 at 01:42:20 PM PDT

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    •  reliance on range is overstated. (0+ / 0-)

      The vast majority of trips are short range.  There is nothing whatsoever wrong with owning a 40-50 mile range electric vehicle for 90% of your driving, and renting a gasoline vehicle for long trips.

      The key is that manufacturers cannot charge a premium for such a short range vehicle.

      It's also likely that fleet services like iGo or Car2Go or ZipCar are a better place to introduce those kinds of vehicles than individual ownership.

      -7.75 -4.67

      "Freedom's just another word for nothing left to lose."

      There are no Christians in foxholes.

      by Odysseus on Thu Apr 25, 2013 at 02:19:20 PM PDT

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