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View Diary: The NRA thanks Ayotte for doing its bidding ... because she sure wasn't listening to the voters (168 comments)

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  •  Yes it is instructive (1+ / 0-)
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    FrankRose

    From the PPP poll:

    "Murkowski has lost most of her
    appeal to Democrats in the wake of her vote'
     with her numbers with them going from
    59/25 to 44/44."

    Does she really give a damn what D's think (and she's still tied)

    and:

    "And the vote hasn't increased her credibility with Re-
    publican either- she
    was at 51/38 with them in February and she's at 50/39 now. "

    Did PPP really say that?  What kind of comment is that about a 1% drop?  PPP is jumping the shark.

    And now for Begich (this is more interesting):

    "He was at 49/39 in February and now
    he's at 41/37. His popularity has declined with
    Democrats (from 76/17 to 59/24) and with
    independents (from 54/32 to 43/35), and there
    has been no corresponding improvement
    with Republicans. He had a 24% approval rating
    with them two months ago and he has a
    24% approval rating with them now."

    So, crunch the numbers.  If all those that disapprove of him that are NOT Democrats vote for his opponent, his opponent will win (registered Republicans outnumber D's by 10% and about 44% of Alaska voters are Independents or undeclared, but a majority of those vote R).  Begich loses and the Republicans pick up a seat.  Murkowski is not in any danger, at all.  I think we can safely assume that no Republican candidate running in Alaska will vote for gun control and this issue could very well cost the D's the Senate.

    There is a very good reason that Democrats have avoided the gun issue for more than a decade--it is a tactical disaster.

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