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View Diary: Stephen Wolf's First 2014 Senate Race Ratings (45 comments)

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  •  Who says black turnout will be down? (0+ / 0-)

    IIRC in 2010, black turnout was at a record high for midterms in states like Georgia, on par with white turnout. The problem was the composition of white people that year was overwhelmingly unfavorable to Democrats.

    •  yes while that's true (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      turnout will still be depressed compared to presidential levels. i.e we'd have a much easier time winning had the GA seat been open in 2016 instead of 2014.

      In fact, the occasional victory for the GOP cannot hide the fact that this country is fast heading into another era, not of two-party democracy, but a party-and-a-half system. And the GOP is the half a party- Larry Sabato

      by lordpet8 on Tue Apr 30, 2013 at 06:18:10 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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