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View Diary: The Law of Unintended Consequences: 29% of the Country Think Armed Rebellion Might Be Necessary (106 comments)

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    Massoud's forces were a highly-trained, uniformed army, equipped with heavy weaponry bought via trade from other countries.  Asymmetric, sure.  But nothing like a ragtag militia of dudes with their hobby arsenals.

    Going by kill counts is precisely why you might think the VC were effective.  What they were effective at was turning South Vietnamese against them through brutal terror campaigns.  Even the North Vietnamese leaders got sick of them, and by the end of the war they were marginalized and folded into other groups.  The NVA did far more damage to us than the VC did.

    Mentioning rebellions of decolonization are a red herring, for the simple reason that the colonizers generally quit because the colony wasn't worth keeping anymore.  That's not the case in a civil war, and indeed, Algerian guerillas had a much harder time against other Algerians in the '90's.

    But even so, the Algerians had basically lost their war of independence by 1958, and it was only attempted coups in France that led to a weakening they could exploit.  The Irish did have success in the 1910's and 20's (financed by their large American diaspora), but they only succeeded once the British were exhausted and broke after World War I.   That's hardly a recipe you can count on.

    Conservatives need to realize that their Silent Moral Majority is neither silent, nor moral, nor a majority.

    by nominalize on Wed May 01, 2013 at 08:06:04 PM PDT

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