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View Diary: Markey leads Gomez by just 4 in Massachusetts Senate special election, per PPP (189 comments)

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  •  The key will be turnout. (12+ / 0-)

    The only reason Brown won in 2010 is that it was a special election.  

    Coakley's "campaign" was uninspiring, to say the least.  And there was nothing else on the ballot to bring people to the polls.  So people who would generally vote for the Democrat didn't turn out.

    •  As for increasing turnout, (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      oh yay another commenter, akmk

      the details of poll respondents give the Democrats a very good idea of whom to target:

      Age:
      18 to 29 - 9%
      30 to 45 - 24%
      46 to 65 - 46%
      Older than -  65 21%

      Race:
      White 84%
      Other 16%

      Self-described :
      Very liberal - 17%
      Somewhat liberal - 22%
      Moderate - 33%
      Somewhat conservative - 20%
      Very  conservative - 8%

      And there is not much time, so get to work MA Democrats!

      "In this world of sin and sorrow there is always something to be thankful for; as for me, I rejoice that I am not a Republican." - H. L. Mencken

      by SueDe on Fri May 03, 2013 at 10:04:17 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I feel like (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        oh yay another commenter, SueDe

        talking about the amount of people who self-identify as moderate is kind of useless though, since I would argue that most people don't view themselves as being on the fringes.  Plus, moderate generally has better connotations now than either liberal or conservative.  

        I guess my point is, what, exactly, does "moderate" even mean in this context?  It's kind of similar to "independents", who generally do still have a party preference.

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