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View Diary: This week in the war on voting: Youth vote in 2012 election slipped 6 points over 2008 (69 comments)

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  •  Actually, according to the Associated Press (AP) (3+ / 0-)
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    scott5js, GayHillbilly, auapplemac

    the outcome of the 2012 Presidential Election was not due to the Youth Demographics, but to a surge in Minority Voting, especially in the Black Community.

    Here's an excerpt and a link to the AP article, below:


    In a first, black voter turnout rate passes whites

    By HOPE YEN, Associated Press
    Updated 12:06 am, Monday, April 29, 2013

    WASHINGTON (AP) — America's blacks voted at a higher rate than other minority groups in 2012 and by most measures surpassed the white turnout for the first time, reflecting a deeply polarized presidential election in which blacks strongly supported Barack Obama while many whites stayed home.

    Had people voted last November at the same rates they did in 2004, when black turnout was below its current historic levels, Republican Mitt Romney would have won narrowly, according to an analysis conducted for The Associated Press.

    Census data and exit polling show that whites and blacks will remain the two largest racial groups of eligible voters for the next decade. Last year's heavy black turnout came despite concerns about the effect of new voter-identification laws on minority voting, outweighed by the desire to re-elect the first black president. . . .


    Don't have time to research the topic today, but as I recall, voting was down in ALL demographics from the 2008 Presidential election.  Looking at the race, frankly, I'm surprised that the turnout was as good as it was, if anything.  [Remember the comment that 'they were not that far apart on Social Security reform.']

    And here's a blurb about 'youth' voting in the 2008 and 2012 elections:


    Youth turnout down overall

    Youth turnout dropped slightly in 2012, down 6 percent from 2008, as compared to less than 1 percent for those older than 30. Turnout for 18-29 year olds was 51 percent in 2008 and 45 percent in 2012. Overall, Obama received about 3.7 million fewer total votes from all age groups in 2012 than he had in 2008.

    In Alabama, 40 percent of young people 18-29 voted in the 2012 presidential election as compared to 67 percent of those older than 30. . . .


    From the same article above:

    Young African American turnout remains strong, but down from 2008

    Among young African American voters, turnout for the 2012 presidential election was 54 percent, higher than the average by other young people in any election from 1976-2012, with the exception of 1992. For African Americans age 30 and older, turnout rose by more than 3 points from 2008 to 2012.

    The number of young African American voters was down 4.5 percent from 2008's record-setting rate.


    And regarding the numbers 'overall':

    Popular Vote 2012: Narrow Lead For Obama When 13 Million Americans Chose Not to Vote

    . . . An analysis of voting patterns over the past three elections shows that many in all age groups chose to sit this election out. Some news outlets are reporting a high level of enthusiasm among millennials. Firm statistics will not be available from county and state registrars for weeks (and in some cases, months), but comparisons of local election returns show that 2012 looks a lot more like 2004 than it does 2008, except less enthusiastic.

    It is only the party and candidate names that are different. The biggest vote loser was Barack Obama, who received 10 million fewer votes than 2008, but Mitt Romney also received almost 3 million fewer votes than John McCain. John McCain's votes in 2008 would have beaten Barack Obama this time.

    Did a third party candidate receive more votes? Libertarians may take some comfort in the fact that Gary Johnson received more than twice the number of votes in this low-turnout election than Bob Barr did in 2008, for a total of 1,139,562. . . .

    This article also goes into some of the 'reasons' folks 'sat out' this election, if anyone is interested.


    "Only he who can see the invisible, can do the impossible."-- Frank L. Gaines


    by musiccitymollie on Sat May 11, 2013 at 12:27:29 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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