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View Diary: Global Warming, Islam, and the US: Flashpoint Bangladesh? (70 comments)

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  •  There are many important issues... (0+ / 0-)

    1. Bangladesh is the most riverine of any country in the world - being at the delta of the great Ganges river - when it enters Bangladesh it is called Padma, whereas the distributary that remains in India is actually called Hooghly.

    2. Because of this large river surface area, and low lying land, Bangladesh is in considerable peril from rising sea levels. With a HUGE population, unlike say some of the smaller European countries, that will become a significant problem - both globally, and locally for its neighboring states.

    3. There is also an aspect of Islamic fundamentalism in Bangladesh politics, but there seems to be a consensus emerging that will be protective of democratic norms in their body politic. The recent protests against the Razakar head during its war of liberation is a good sign.

    4. India is also going to feel some brunt of rising sea levels, specially for large coastal cities. But a bigger problem for India is surface water management. It receives sufficient rainfall to be able to alleviate the perennial water shortage in some areas of the country. But political will is lacking. This is already cause for grief between the souther states.

    5. River water sharing issues are becoming bones of contention between India-Bangladesh, India-Pakistan, and now more ominously India-China.

    6. Tibet is in the rain shadow of the Himalayas. China wants to reclaim the northeastern Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh. This has plenty of water for hydroelectricity, as well as deep forests for timber and other natural resources.

    7. Towards this goal, it is making long term Sun Tzu type moves - by penetrating deep inside inhospitable territory inside Indian boundaries, establishing temporary army camps, and then withdrawing - to test Indian defenses, but more importantly Indian political will, and weakness in the Indian democratic processes. India right now is ill prepared to parry and thrust Chinese maneuvers.

    8. The Indian-Pakistan border disputes concerning river water sharing is well known - but it is a corollary of the major bone of contention - Kashmir.

    I am only writing what comes to mind quickly - there are deeper issues. One good source for an Indian version of these issues is the site South Asian Analysis Organization - http://www.southasiaanalysis.org/
    Most of the articles are on military and security issues, but there are occasional papers on climate change related matters.

    Doubt is not a pleasant condition, but certainty is absurd. Voltaire

    by Suvro on Mon May 13, 2013 at 11:25:43 AM PDT

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