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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/15 (293 comments)

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  •  too high (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jncca, DCCyclone, MichaelNY

    Based on 2012 exit polls (or extrapolations from 2008 exit polls in states that were not polled in 2012), Obama got about 28% of the southern white vote, or 29% if you throw MD and DE into the south even though they're really part of the northeast.

    Estimated Obama % of white vote in each state:

    Polled in 2012 - MD 43, VA 37, NC 31, AL 15, MS 10, FL 37.

    Not polled in 2012 - DE 49, WV 33, KY 32, TN 30, SC 25, GA 22, LA 14, AR 28, OK 27, TX 22.

    SSP poster. 43, new CA-6, -0.25/-3.90

    by sacman701 on Wed May 15, 2013 at 04:43:58 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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