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View Diary: UPDATE x3: LAST MAN STANDING: Michigan schools dropping like flies. (89 comments)

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  •  "Oh, Dems didn't stay home in 2010." (12+ / 0-)

    So goes the refrain from some self-deceived chunk of this dKos population. The rest of us who actually pay attention know better and have called "bullshit" from day one. Stupid people stayed home because they were pissed at Obama. No one deserves what the Republifucks are doing, but it wasn't unpredictable.

    I genuinely AM angry at what the Republifucks are doing everywhere they are in power, but I gotta say, if people stay home on election day, the other side wins and this is what happens.

    "There's no ideology [t]here [on the right]. It's just about being a dick." Bill Maher, June 22, 2012.

    by caseynm on Thu May 16, 2013 at 09:39:19 AM PDT

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    •  There are lots of reasons people stay home (14+ / 0-)

      Midterms just don't get the same turn out as Presidential elections. It needn't have anything to do with being pissed at Obama. The right has long since figured out the importance of the "little" elections - witness take over of school boards, and all the statewide ALEC partners. Throw in some Tea Party enthusiasm to get out the vote - gotta repeal the ACA, right? And there's your recipe.

      “Texas is a so-called red state, but you’ve got 10 million Democrats here in Texas. And …, there are a whole lot of people here in Texas who need us, and who need us to fight for them.” President Obama

      by Catte Nappe on Thu May 16, 2013 at 09:56:15 AM PDT

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      •  I've seen a couple of post-2010 studies... (9+ / 0-)

        ...which suggest that the low turnout in 2010 was even lower than historic trends. Here in Michigan, the sitting SoS announced that she was preparing for an election that would have 25% fewer participants than in 2008 based on previous actual returns, in my experience an expected and reasonable drop off in participation.

        We ended up seeing roughly a 37% drop off in participation.

        The difference between anticipated drop off and actual was in excess of half a million votes. By my rough count, we lost control of the Michigan State House by fewer than 40,000 votes. There were a number of reasons for the even lower than expected participation (suppression efforts not the least of them), and I'm not going to pretend that we would have retained the House if we had somehow muscled out another couple hundred thousand voters, but at worst the GOP would have had a much narrower majority and wouldn't have been able to wreak nearly as much destruction as they did in terms of both legislation and redistricting.

        Redistricting was ALWAYS the big prize to be won in the 2010 cycle, and our opponents knew it.

        When you are right you cannot be too radical; when you are wrong, you cannot be too conservative. --Martin Luther King Jr.

        by Egalitare on Thu May 16, 2013 at 10:46:30 AM PDT

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