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View Diary: Battleground Texas: You have them worried! (94 comments)

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  •  Yeah, I think the National party wrote Texas (9+ / 0-)

    off about 1996. I lived in Texas on and off from 1982 to 2002 and watched that happen. I did not know however that it had gotten that bad.

    I get a feeling that you're going to see a a lot of Democratic money coming to Texas for the foreseeable future. The stakes are finally that high in this particular poker game.

    I resent that. I demand snark, and overly so -- Markos Moulitsas.

    by commonmass on Thu May 16, 2013 at 05:05:24 PM PDT

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    •  thats mentioned in the Times article (7+ / 0-)

      some other good - well interesting I guess -  stuff in there too.

      The drive to turn Texas blue, primarily by mobilizing Hispanics, threatens to disrupt the security and comfort of incumbents in both parties. Many elected officials in Texas currently represent majority or plurality Latino districts, but face no serious challenge because registration and turnout rates are uniquely dismal in Texas’s Hispanic precincts.

      Take, for example, the two Democrats representing downtown Houston, Gene Green, who is white, and Sheila Jackson Lee, who is black.

      Lee routinely wins re-election with 70 percent or more of the vote. The population of Lee’s district, according to the Census, is plurality Latino, 38.7 percent. Blacks make up 37.4 percent and whites 16.9 percent. “There is evidence from redistricting battles that many majority-minority African-American House seats are built on Hispanics who don’t vote,” writes Robert Stein, a political scientist at Rice. “Should these voters be mobilized, there is every reason to expect a primary challenge from a Hispanic candidate” in districts now represented by black or white incumbents.

      I say bring it on. (Lee is my Rep.)

      If I can't dance I don't want to be part of your revolution. ~ Emma Goldman

      by Lady Libertine on Thu May 16, 2013 at 05:32:22 PM PDT

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      •  I don't see how Lee is threatened here (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Dave in Northridge, commonmass

        unless she is lousy at her job.

        Jon Husted is a dick.

        by anastasia p on Thu May 16, 2013 at 05:58:59 PM PDT

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      •  I knew the stats weren't good. (4+ / 0-)

        There's a lot of improvement here.

        the Latino/a community currently has an abysmally low turnout statewide: 38.8% in Texas vs 48% nationally
        Colorado got to 52% Hispanic, 75% whites.

                              Hispanic                White                  Black
        Texas               38.8%                 60.9%

        National           48%                     62%                  66.2%

        As Hispanic Vote Lags, Millions of Votes Left on the Table National Journal  Reid Wilson estimates that if Texas Hispanic voters had turned out at the same rate as white, 1,074,000 more votes would have been cast. The only other state close was CA getting 1,029,000 (48.5% H, 64.3% W).

        In the remaining 12 states with the highest Hispanic populations, 11 could have gotten 25 K to 217 K more votes. FL has a slightly higher Hispanic to white turnout. 62.2% to 61.9%.

        Given the discussion on immigration reform, I am wondering if the voting responsibility of citizenship could be promoted where turnout is low. Sounds like there are significant regional differences. Local activists need to be involved in fine tuning the messaging.

        "People, even more than things, have to be restored, renewed, revived, reclaimed and redeemed; never throw out anyone. " Audrey Hepburn "A Beautiful Woman"

        by Ginny in CO on Thu May 16, 2013 at 07:38:32 PM PDT

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    •  If Texas can be flipped (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Dave in Northridge

      Ohio and Florida don't matter anymore. I can't picture a map with a blue texas where the Democrat gets less than 350  EVs, to be honest.

    •  I moved here in 2004 (4+ / 0-)

      and got the impression that Texas was just a pocketbook for the national party....money sure flowed out of here but very little ever seemed to come back.

      I salute the die-hard Democrat/Progressive activists I've met here. Some of them have truly fought the good fight for years and years, hanging on through thick and thin hoping and working for better days. At at the end of the road, they can rest assured that they did everything they possibly could to make positive change a reality.

      Battleground Texas is such an exciting thing for them to see and be a part of. So many remember when TX was a strong Democratic state, before the dark years of Rovian manipulation and the rise of the right wing propaganda networks.

      Happy Days will be here again....it will be good to know the rest of the county will have our backs in this fight. We spent so many hours calling and sending volunteers to other swing states. We'll show good hospitality to anyone coming down to help us out!

      And in San Antonio, the margaritas are particularly good!

      "one useless man is a shame, two is a law firm, and three or more is a congress" -- John Adams

      by blue armadillo on Fri May 17, 2013 at 06:19:16 AM PDT

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    •  Bill Clinton dunnit (2+ / 0-)

      In the 1992 campaign, Gov Ann Richardson begged Clinton not to write off Texas, saying 1) Dems could win it, and 2) if Dems didn't make a fight, it would hurt in future years.

      In 1994, Ann Richardson ran for re-election but was defeated by George W. Bush. How'd that work out for us?

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