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View Diary: Filibuster fireworks likely for July (65 comments)

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  •  Is that realistic, with all of the gerrymandering? (1+ / 0-)
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    I am sadly skeptical :(.  The conservative districts will reward their members for killing it, and so many House members are in safe districts.  This is definitely inside baseball but I would want to see some poll numbers about immigration reform in the swingy districts before I went there.

    "The first drawback of anger is that it destroys your inner peace; the second is that it distorts your view of reality. If you come to understand that anger is really unhelpful, you can begin to distance yourself from anger." - The Dalai Lama

    by auron renouille on Wed May 22, 2013 at 03:26:40 PM PDT

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    •  Imo, enough CDs would not fit model if hispanics (1+ / 0-)
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      turned out in far greater numbers than was assumed for drawing the gerrymanders.  

      From what I understand, they usually use voting totals, not registration totals, and certainly not registrat-able.  Now, I've only only seen/read of the actually process Thugs used in Texas.  But i would be surprised if it was that different elsewhere.  After all, whats the point of having 60% Rs, if they consistently make up less than 50% of the voters come election day?  

      (Using simplified, non-indie example of course, but you get the pt, I hope.)

    •  The question is whether Latinos in particular, (0+ / 0-)

      and many of their allies in general, will be motivated to turn out and vote, in the way that Voter Suppression efforts last year motivated Blacks to turn out in record numbers. That includes getting legal immigrants to become citizens. It includes major efforts at registration. Then it comes down to the usual GOTV.

      The key to this Gordian knot (and mixed metaphor) is Obama's commanding lead—among non-voters.

      Among these adults, 43 percent said they preferred Mr. Obama while 17 percent backed Mr. Romney. Since quite a few Americans fit into this category — about 4 in 10 American adults will not vote in November — it is easy to see how Mr. Obama could have a double-digit lead when they are added back into the total, like in the Kaiser Family Foundation poll.
      Battleground Texas, among others, is committed to making that happen. You can help.

      Ceterem censeo, gerrymandra delenda est

      by Mokurai on Wed May 22, 2013 at 06:51:38 PM PDT

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