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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: A rare look at Obama's internal polling, and how it beat Gallup (48 comments)

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  •  2 points (1+ / 0-)
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    Aramis Wyler

    Those 2% points cost them NC

    But more relevantly I think it may have cost Obama the opportunity to stump downticket.

    If he's up 53%-45% instead of 51-47 going into the last couple of weeks, I think he is alot more free to basically not have to waste his time going to Ohio or wherever over and over again.

    maybe the effect of that would be nothing - who knows.

    •  Obama always only looked out for Obama (1+ / 0-)
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      And I doubt very much he'd have stumped downticket. But had he won the election by 5-6 points instead of 4, I'm willing to bet he'd have dragged a few other Democrats who narrowly lost close races over the finish line. In particular, I'm thinking of Berkley in NV and Carmona in AZ.

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      by David Nir on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 08:09:16 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  The Obama strategy (3+ / 0-)

        Was very much to play it safe, particularly in the homestretch. Carmona was probably always a bridge too far, and Berkley was her own worst enemy. In a state that Obama carried with 52% of the vote, Berkley only took 44%. The bigger problem in Nevada is the ability to vote blank. 4.5% voted blank for Senate in 2012. That's a hell of a lot of people that showed up to vote for Obama but not for Berkley, and the only reason wasn't just that he didnt stump for her.

        In Arizona, Obama stumping for Carmona may have actually hurt his chances more than helping.

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