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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Weekly Open Thread: What races are you interested in? (360 comments)

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  •  Assemblyman Nestande is running. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ArkDem14, Zack from the SFV

    Perhaps a step below top tier (which would probably be a veteran county supervisor or Bonnie Garcia, neither of which are running for this for sure).  Statewide Dems in 2014 should invest a good deal of cash in Riverside and San Diego County Dem organizations.

    "Didn't anyone ever tell you? There's one thing you never put in a trap—if you're smart, if you value your continued existence, if you have any plans about seeing tomorrow—there's one thing you never—ever, put in a trap. …Me." -The Eleventh Doctor

    by KingofSpades on Sat Jun 29, 2013 at 10:24:39 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Speaking of Bonnie Garcia (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Zack from the SFV

      (who is running for an open red-leaning SD in 2014), she held Assembly District 80 as a Republican before being appointed to something by Schwarzenegger (who made very creepy comments about the disposition of her ethnicity).  That district apparently moved blue rapidly ever since.  It was won by Dem Manuel Perez in 2008 70K votes to 63K votes.  Perez topped that in 2010 over a Republican with a Hispanic surname 58K to 42K.

      "Didn't anyone ever tell you? There's one thing you never put in a trap—if you're smart, if you value your continued existence, if you have any plans about seeing tomorrow—there's one thing you never—ever, put in a trap. …Me." -The Eleventh Doctor

      by KingofSpades on Sat Jun 29, 2013 at 10:38:09 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I actually consider Nestande (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      lordpet8, jncca

      a top recruit.

      23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

      by wwmiv on Sat Jun 29, 2013 at 01:32:36 PM PDT

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      •  I didn't say he wasn't (0+ / 0-)

        just that he wasn't top of the top.  He seems Tony Strickland-ish.

        "Didn't anyone ever tell you? There's one thing you never put in a trap—if you're smart, if you value your continued existence, if you have any plans about seeing tomorrow—there's one thing you never—ever, put in a trap. …Me." -The Eleventh Doctor

        by KingofSpades on Sat Jun 29, 2013 at 02:50:24 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I don't see that one (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          lordpet8, Zack from the SFV

          Nestande is a relative moderate, and a far better fit for that district than Strickland was for his race. He may also be a better fit that Garcia, who as far as I know was just a conventional conservative in the legislature. I don't know how good a fundraiser he is, though.

          SSP poster. 43, new CA-6, -0.25/-3.90

          by sacman701 on Sat Jun 29, 2013 at 05:43:59 PM PDT

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      •  Let's look at his last election also (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        wwmiv, ehstronghold

        Here's his district: http://www.mpimaps.com/...
        In 2008, Obama got 45.38% to McCain's 51.66%.  In 2012 elections, Nestande won only 54.7%-45.3% over a Democrat who had raised less than 10% of the money he raised.  It should also be noted that there was no contested primary (i.e. it was just Dem vs. GOP in the primary and the general) so Nestande didn't blow a bunch in the primary like say the GOPer in AD-36 did.  However, I would have to say that this race is extremely likely going to be tossup when the election is thrown into full throttle if Ruiz does a good job.  After all, Obama got slightly less than 50% here in 2012.  Hence why CA Dems need a great year and should invest more in counties like this and SD County.

        "Didn't anyone ever tell you? There's one thing you never put in a trap—if you're smart, if you value your continued existence, if you have any plans about seeing tomorrow—there's one thing you never—ever, put in a trap. …Me." -The Eleventh Doctor

        by KingofSpades on Sat Jun 29, 2013 at 03:00:21 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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