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View Diary: Update: U.S. to provide increased support to Syrian opposition forces (80 comments)

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  •  A Nightmare (4+ / 0-)

    I used to think that the sequester was the dumbest policy line the Obama administration had ever taken. Now it seems that the red line has an excellent chance of replacing it.

    No proxies, no matter how well we arm them, are going to do anything but lose going against Hezbollah. And the more we arm them, the more credence we give to the proposition that we have to keep escalating until Assad is gone.

    Oh, okay, maybe the IDF could win this, could beat Hezbollah and oust Assad. For one thing, that's not a foregone conclusion. But mostly, that proxy is as good (by which I mean "as bad") as no proxy, as bad as direct US involvement. We really, really will be opening the gates of Hell if we have Israel invading Syria and Lebanon (which it has to do to beat Hezbollah in Syria) in order to occupy them, which it has to do to keep Hezbollah from reforming. Israel has invaded Syria twice, but only to wipe out its conventional army, and it has never been dumb enough to try to stay and occupy beyond the Golan Heights. It kinda sorta tried to occupy southern Lebanon once, but that didn't turn out well, even before Hezbollah had gotten as good as it is now.

    This is a nightmare. This is not going to end well.

    The states must be abolished.

    by gtomkins on Thu Jun 13, 2013 at 08:25:30 PM PDT

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