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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 6/18 (324 comments)

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  •  You are only looking at one cycle (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jncca

    Compare 2004-2008, when the state went from Bush +15 to McCain +19.  Or 2000, when Bush only won the state by 8 points.  And 1996, when Clinton won it by 12.

    The point is, the state has trended red in every election since 1996 up until last year when it gave a few points back.  That doesn't mean the state is trending blue any more than Michigan is trending red.  We have to look at the long-term trends, and those are awful for us in Louisiana as our base shrinks and shrinks to practically just African-Americans.

    •  Although true (1+ / 0-)
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      JBraden

      There are green shoots here that are easily taken advantage of. African Americans are also growing as a share, aren't they, as they return back after Katrina? The artistic white bloc votes liberally and are growing as a share as well. I don't think it is possible to shrink further among our white coalition, as that practically hit bottom in '08. I.E. there's only room to grow now.

      23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

      by wwmiv on Tue Jun 18, 2013 at 02:21:56 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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