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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 6/26 (374 comments)

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  •  Obama approval at 40??? (9+ / 0-)

    Pretty hard to believe.  Quinnipiac is generally pretty flaky early in the cycle, but this is pretty bad even for them.  Is PPP going to poll Ohio?  I find those numbers hard to believe.  Just like Fitzgerald at 33%.  Seriously?  Even generic D gets more than 33% in a poll.  

    I remember when Quinnipiac had Strickland down by 15 a few months before the 2010 election.  I know that Quinny polls Ohio a lot, but I think we need to see a few more from them before we start getting concerned at all.

    The good news is that even with this very republican poll result, Clinton is still doing well.  If she runs in 2016, I expect Ohio to be neck and neck as it has always been.


    by LordMike on Wed Jun 26, 2013 at 09:55:07 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Yeah, as David pointed out yesterday (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      JBraden, LordMike, MrLiberal, askew, jncca

      the statewide result was weird too. I definitely think Kasich is leading but it was odd that his lead expanded so much, even thought I think the favs for him and Fitzgerald basically stayed the same.

      I can believe Obama's numbers down too, but not 40-57. Obviously, the approval that matters most will be the one in 2016. He is going through a difficult stretch right now(although, ironically, not policywise, given the news on immigration reform and DOMA), but if he rebounds by 2016, then I think everything is okay for Clinton.  

    •  Yeah that defies common sense (0+ / 0-)

      Something is up with Q's model this early.  They are dropping pretty surprising polls.  We need a 2nd look at Ohio.

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