Skip to main content

View Diary: TX-Gov: PPP, Wendy Davis' (D) Popularity Rises But Rick Perry (R) Still Leads In Governors Race (16 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  Perry WILL run again because of a certain Bush... (0+ / 0-)

    George Prescott Bush, son of Jeb Bush, is running for Texas Land Commissioner in 2014 - the plan then would be to run for Texas Governor in 2018 and use it as a base to launch a Presidential bid from either in 2020 if a Dem is in WH or more than likely 2024.  

    If Perry doesn't run, than Abbot runs and wins and Bush can't primary a sitting Republican Governor and Abbot isn't about to step aside after one term so he'd look to serve at least until 2022 - leaving G. Prescott Bush without a launching pad for 2024.  

    Davis is great for the base, but she'll gin up partisan ire on the other side.  

    Abbott winning the primary would probably be good for Dems in that there could be some behind the scenes drama in which the Bush clan would rather see a Dem win than Abbott win and get entrenched for the next eight years minimum.  

    If you're not talking about what billionaire hedgefund bankster Peter G. Peterson is up to you're having the wrong conversations.

    by Jacoby Jonze on Tue Jul 02, 2013 at 10:03:52 AM PDT

    •  GPB is very young (37) (0+ / 0-)

      and has lots of time to wait as a Texas office holder before thinking about national office. It is interesting that while GPB grew up in Florida he had his eyes on Texas early, graduating from Rice and earning his JD from the University of Texas School of Law.

      GPB is an interesting candidate, he speaks Spanish fluently and embraces his Hispanic heritage (his mother is from Mexico), is a Lt in the US Naval Reserve, and served eight months on active duty in Afghanistan. He has punched a lot of tickets and has had great coaching. He will be a formidable opponent in Texas for the foreseeable future.

      "let's talk about that"

      by VClib on Tue Jul 02, 2013 at 10:56:49 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Pres Obama was 47-48 yo wasn't he? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        VClib

        Bush will be land commissioner for four years, use that to propel himself to Governor in 2018, run for re-election in 2022 and then run for President in 2024 while sitting Governor of Texas.  

        If Abbott wins in 2014, Bush can't primary him in 2018, meaning Bush is locked out of prominent office unless he primaries Cornyn or Cruz.

        So Perry will certainly run for re-election in 2014 and will retire then in 2018, with GPB waiting in the wings with the deck virtually cleared.  

        Bushes don't challenge sitting Presidents.  So if he isn't in place to run for 2024, he'll be locked out until 2032, still the ripe age of 57ish but he'd need an interim post after his Governor stint.  

        This all might sound hair-brained and too long off but Bush Clan are long term strategists. As you've said, his whole life has been about checking the right boxes.  His Land Commissioner gig is along that same path, it's a stepping stone to the Texas Governor's mansion.  

        If you're not talking about what billionaire hedgefund bankster Peter G. Peterson is up to you're having the wrong conversations.

        by Jacoby Jonze on Tue Jul 02, 2013 at 11:35:32 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  JJ - I think you are right (0+ / 0-)

          It will be interesting to see if it plays out that way. I do think there are formidable Democrats in Texas that will be his rivals, including the Castro brothers along with many others.

          The few things that I thought were most interesting were his decisions to go to law school at UT, rather than Yale or Harvard, and joining the Naval Reserve at age 31, both of which will play well in Texas. The Castro brothers went to Stanford and then Harvard Law School, which I think for them was also very smart political optics.

          "let's talk about that"

          by VClib on Tue Jul 02, 2013 at 01:20:30 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site