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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 7/18 (335 comments)

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  •  Yes, I was looking at exit polls recently (1+ / 0-)
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    And out of the 18-29 age group Obama won almost every state thaat had exit polls.  Granted, a lot of smaller uncompetitive states were not polled.  The young in Indiana swung hard right.  Obama performed better with young voters in some of deep south states than he did in Indiana.  

    •  Is it that (0+ / 0-)

      their side showed up and ours didn't? (I could have sworn I made an earlier post proposing that idea, but oh well...) OFA didn't contest Indiana in 2012, and I could imagine that this hurt specifically with the group where they are usually strong.

      "The polls are meaningless, riddled with biases, inaccuracies, and an unrealistic electorate. The only poll that matters is the one on election day..."--said by any number of candidates down in the polls

      by bjssp on Thu Jul 18, 2013 at 10:43:40 AM PDT

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      •  Something else I noticed in 2012 exit polls - AZ (1+ / 0-)
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        The 18-29 age group in Arizona swung 14 points in Obama's favor in 2012 vs. 2008 while the 65+ group swung 11 points towards Romney.  Looking at the numbers I'm pretty sure the 18-29 swing was fueled by the young Latino voters.  I'm not getting the 65+ swing towards Romney.  I would have thought McCain would appeal to seniors at least as well as Romney.

      •  Kinda interesting for Indiana... (1+ / 0-)
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        For those who voters who decided before September, about 66% of the state, Romney and Obama were pretty much deadlocked. Romney ran away with late deciders.

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