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  •  Tea Party distancing from GOP? (2+ / 0-)
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    True North, betterdemsonly

    I hope this isn't too far off-topic, but the Guardian reports that Tea Party people seem to be distancing themselves from the GOP.  Since the Tea Party is a "potent mix of anger and populism", and have already replaced many 'standard-brand' Republicans, this further shift will play into any developing 'populist politics', imo.

    But as many tea party stars seek re-election next year and Rubio considers a 2016 presidential run, conservative activists are finding themselves at a crossroads. Many of their standard-bearers have embraced more moderate positions on bedrock issues such as immigration and health care, broadening their appeal in swing states but dampening grass-roots passion.


    The tea party is a loosely knit web of activists, and some are hoping to rekindle the fire with 2014 primary challenges to wayward Republicans. But many more say they plan to sit out high-profile races in some important swing states next year, a move that GOP leaders fear could imperil the re-election prospects of former tea party luminaries, including the governors of Florida and Ohio.


    . . . [In 2010] The tea party wave stunned Democrats and many moderate Republicans, sweeping the GOP into control of the House and changing the balance of power in many statehouses.

    But not long after some tea party stars took office, political analysts said, they were forced to adapt to a changing landscape, particularly in states Obama won in 2012, and to the realities of governing.

    The tea party also fell out of favor with many people. At its height after the 2010 elections, a CBS News poll found that 31 percent of those surveyed considered themselves tea party supporters. A May survey found just 24 percent identified with the movement.


     . . . The movement's top strategists acknowledge the tea party is quieter today, by design. It has matured, they said, from a protest movement to a political movement. Large-scale rallies have given way to strategic letter-writing and phone-banking campaigns to push or oppose legislative agendas in Washington and state capitals. . . .

    The Republican establishment, however, is concerned about 2014. Party leaders worry about the GOP's most passionate advocates walking away, particularly those supporters angered by the Senate's immigration bill.  . . .

    Three things jump out at me here:  (1) Some TPers plan to sit out 2014 -- ie, not vote; (2) TPers plan to continue primarying GOPers from the right; and (3) There's been a big drop in the percentage of voters who self-identify as TPers (31% to 24%).

    These three factors suggest to me that in 2014 and 2016 the Dems will be facing a divided Right Wing that is less mobilized to vote.  This looks like a good thing to me.

    Now -- where are our Democratic populists?  I'd say we need a few.

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