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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 8/28 (323 comments)

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  •  True (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, BoswellSupporter

    I meant, a lot of the tech people who supported Obama did it because they agree with him on the issues. Because most seem to be left leaning.

    And Christie is the most moderate of the GOP field, or at least can fake being moderate, so it could attract some of those tech people.

    •  But, he is very pro-NSA... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      ...and got in a big spat with Ron Paul over surveillance.  He is very pro surveillance.

      GODSPEED TO THE WISCONSIN FOURTEEN!

      by LordMike on Wed Aug 28, 2013 at 09:21:16 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Christie (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      The Caped Composer, MichaelNY

      I still don't see how Christie makes it through the nominating process.  He's a good VP pick for someone potentially, but his impatience with the media will bring him down if he launches his own candidacy.

      He needs to go to all the states as well.  I know Rudy decided to not contest any state until Florida, but it never made sense to me why he didn't compete in New Hampshire.  If Christie adopts a similar strategy, he would be toast.

      I know people complain about how conservative Iowa GOP caucus goers are, but there are in roads for all candidates in my state if they play their cards right.  Urbandale, Cedar Falls, Bettendorf are all places where a non-hardliner can make things happen.  

      IA-2 Born, raised, currently reside.

      by BoswellSupporter on Wed Aug 28, 2013 at 03:40:48 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I can easily see him getting it because... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        BoswellSupporter

        ...it will be a divided field with several credible choices, I would bet with comparable money, making it hard for anyone to break out early.  So you needle a thread come in first in a couple states early one, don't have to be consecutive.  And all that takes is to catch fire at the right moments.

        The only wildcard to me is Jeb Bush, who I'm increasingly convinced would become the clear frontrunner at some point.  I don't think anyone can raise money like him, Bush World has all the connections that can be had.  And GOP voters are always attracted to a strong personal brand, that's why they almost always nominate someone who ran before, and when they didn't it was someone named "George Bush."  Jeb Bush is easily the strongest personal brand if he runs, and none of the serious alternatives has ever run before to establish his own personal brand.

        45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Wed Aug 28, 2013 at 08:26:49 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  aside from being a Bush (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          BoswellSupporter

          and polling in the single digits right now.

          ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

          by James Allen on Wed Aug 28, 2013 at 08:28:55 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  His polling right now doesn't matter at all (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Christopher Walker

            If Jeb runs, he will raise money, he will win over voters over time just because he's a Bush.  He won't run roughshod the way his brother did, it will be more of a slog like his dad, and that's because his brother damaged the family brand.  But the Bushes are still popular among Republicans, and "among Republicans" is all that matters.

            That's the error in dismissing him as a Bush, just because that hurts him in November doesn't mean it hurts him in caucuses and primaries.  It hurts a little, but not very much.

            45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

            by DCCyclone on Thu Aug 29, 2013 at 06:33:58 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  Christie (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          You lay out a very good path for him, but I don't think all of their interest groups are sold on him at all.  I think Christie will say something to upset enough people and blow the nomination if he runs.  

          Jeb Bush probably doesn't want to run, but he will if he's afraid that a pro-immigration reform candidate won't get the nomination.  

          I wonder if Mike Huckabee couldn't lose some weight again and potentially get into the race.  He would have a definite following although he's not a "full spectrum conservative" either so he would struggle at times as well.  

          Christie's an interesting candidate, no doubt about it.  

          IA-2 Born, raised, currently reside.

          by BoswellSupporter on Wed Aug 28, 2013 at 09:15:01 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

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