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View Diary: Kerry expected to sharpen criticism of Syrian regime in statement today. Intervention seems likely (377 comments)

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  •  I suspect (1+ / 0-)
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    TomP

    that this is what will happen. I also suspect that the persons involved in the process in the US will be looking for a way to do a quick strike in Syria that will take out Assad. Then they will go into "Oopsie...Gosh all golly gee, we didn't mean to do that" mode. It could even be possible that the Russians are getting pretty tired of Assad and wouldn't mind much if he was, ummm, "collateral damage". Realpolitik is hell.

    The more people I encounter, the more I appreciate our cats.

    by Old Sailor on Mon Aug 26, 2013 at 12:11:02 PM PDT

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    •  I wouldn't count on that (0+ / 0-)

      The last thing the Russians want is to upset the apple cart in Syria, especially since US and Russian interests in Syria are diametrically opposed. Assad might be a cruel despot, but he's at least a known quantity that Russia can deal with and get a lot of advantages out of. A replacement might not be so amenable to Russian interests. It's pure wishful thinking to believe that the Russians would merely stand by even for a limited US strike (and even one that doesn't target Assad). Escalation and a bitter US-Russian standoff would be far more likely.

      •  If there are people (0+ / 0-)

        connected with the Syrian regime who might be more to the liking of the Russians, it's most likely a safe bet that the Russians know exactly who those people are. I have no doubt that the Russians would throw Assad under the bus if they think it is in their interests to do so.

        The more people I encounter, the more I appreciate our cats.

        by Old Sailor on Mon Aug 26, 2013 at 03:04:06 PM PDT

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