Skip to main content

View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/5 (330 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  I don't think he was a serious target, (0+ / 0-)

    but if not in 2008, then perhaps, before it looked like 2010 would be difficult (and certainly before it looked like it'd be a disaster), I think it was on the second tier or so.

    But then, he only got 59 percent in 2012. Maybe that was because some of the territory was new, although that's just a guess, as I don't know the district at all. Or maybe there was some very minor pro-Obama effect. Whatever the case, if he fails to crack 60 and actually continues to trend downward, perhaps it'll be competitive within a few cycles.

    Is there any local Democratic strength in the district?

    "At this point, if the president came out in favor of breathing, [Republican leaders would] tell their caucus members to hold their breaths."--Jared Bernstein

    by bjssp on Thu Sep 05, 2013 at 10:40:33 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Not as such (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bjssp, Darth Jeff, jncca

      since it's a swath of Republican territory between Richmond and Fredericksburg. Edd Houck used to represent a fair chunk of the district (Culpeper/Orange/Spotsylvania area), but I can't see him making an extremely uphill run for the seat.

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site