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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/6 (288 comments)

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  •  What states would he have lost to Obama (1+ / 0-)
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    that Romney won?  Hmm...North Carolina, AZ, MAYBE MO?

    "You are not machines! You are not cattle! You are men! You have the love of humanity in your hearts. You don't hate! Only the unloved hate — the unloved and the unnatural!" -Charlie Chaplin

    by KingofSpades on Fri Sep 06, 2013 at 03:14:01 PM PDT

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    •  Indiana, Georgia and Omaha, possibly. nt (1+ / 0-)
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      Gay farm boy, 21, who hit the city to go to college, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -5.88, -3.64, 2012 Daily Kos Elections Pick'Em runner-up.

      by WisJohn on Fri Sep 06, 2013 at 03:15:46 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Probably (2+ / 0-)
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      MichaelNY, ArkDem14

      The larger problem for Santorum would have been that he'd have had a hard time fundraising for the general. Most wealthy business types don't like hardcore social conservatives. He might even have had to accept public financing for the general, which would have been interesting indeed. Under those circumstances, with what O raised in 2011-2012, a real wipeout would indeed have been possible. Without an opponent about equal in the money game like Romney, O would have won Ohio by ten and Florida by a couple. Santorum would undoubtedly have tried to spend a lot to win his home state, but he probably would have lost that by 15.

      Under those circumstances, Obama would have had money to burn in order to make a bunch of Indiana-type longshot bets.

      •  I doubt it (0+ / 0-)

        Obama would have crushed Santorum in the popular vote, by 10-13%.  But the extra votes he would have gotten would largely be educated whites in the blue-state suburbs.  For example, I could easily see Santorum failing to clear 30% in California or New York.  And there would be a chunk of R voters who would just vote for Gary Johnson as well.

        I'm not sure that Obama would have won any additional state but North Carolina (and the Nebraska EV).  Perhaps Georgia or Arizona, but the whites there are pretty hardened.  Maybe Montana or Alaska, as many would vote Libertarian.

        Of course, this assumes that Santorum actually ran a real campaign rather than as a Christian jihadist "prophet".  There is a chance that he knows he will lose, and just goes Alan Keyes in the debates, making Todd Akinesque comments about gays.

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