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View Diary: This isn’t about Syria (12 comments)

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  •  Assad would lose an election, so why not (2+ / 0-)
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    Orla, whizdom

    go with Iran's plan? If Iran withdrew its support for Assad, I'm guessing China would too, to keep their oil supplier happy; then Assad's left with only Russia in his corner and it'd take no more than to guarantee a continued naval base to get them on board.

    Assad gone, region stabilized, and it'd cost us no more than letting Iran do something good, and letting Russia keep sailing its little ships around.

    "The war on drugs followed by the war on terror has eliminated protections we have had since the Magna Carta." -Horace Boothroyd III

    by mookins on Thu Sep 05, 2013 at 12:01:48 PM PDT

    •  Seems so reasonable (3+ / 0-)

      It's hard to say how an election might turn out. Some reports say Assad still has the support of 50% of Syrians. He definitely has strong support from various minorities afraid of Sunni extremists. Even if Assad has less than 50% the opposition is badly splintered and he may still keep a plurality.

      The sticking point is going to be if the Assad forces will accept a different standard bearer. Getting Assad to go along with this without guarantees of personal safety will be pretty tough. But Iran and Russia have leverage if they choose to use it by suspending arms shipments.

      Of course I believe that Saudi Arabia and Israel will do everything they can to thwart this for their own interests.

      I am not going to sit here and be an idle spectator to the diminution, the subversion, the destruction, of the Constitution. Barbara Jordan

      by Lcohen on Thu Sep 05, 2013 at 12:08:17 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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