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View Diary: Obama Likely To Lose House Vote On Syria (34 comments)

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  •  Political calculus (0+ / 0-)

    This whole episode of watch-me-shoot-myself-in-the-foot theater doesn't make sense. Perhaps it's something entirely different: 2014 House elections

    Consider that the GOP effectively only has one unifying principal remaining: Be against whatever Obama is for. The other principals such as hating brown people, hating Muslims, etc. are a sub-plot:

    Scenario 1:
    Senate passes Syria resolution and it fails in the House
    Result: Obama has cover to not bomb Syria and the bomb-the Muslims GOP primary voters will be so disenchanted w/ the GOP house that they sit out the 2014 elections. Obama gets a short term black eye and the Dems have a real shot at winning the House in '14 and the US avoids a Syrian conflict.

    Scenario 2:
    Senate and House passes the Syria resolution.  
    Result: US lobs some missiles at strategic Syrian targets, which might make a difference, or not. We declare victory and get back to griping about immigrants.
    GOP voters are enraged that the House GOP voted to support Obama and sits out 2014. Hopefully, the US isn't sucked into anything deeper in the middle east, Obama gets a war-bounce and the Dems have a chance at picking up the House in '14.

    With ownership of the Senate (w/ filibuster reform), House and the White House, Obama and the Dems have two years of open seas to push progressive agenda items, which could cement Obama's legacy as a transformational President. You know, the guy I voted for back in 2008.  

    C'mon Dems. Let's get Green and Mean.

    by stork on Thu Sep 05, 2013 at 01:07:52 PM PDT

    •  I think that this situation (1+ / 0-)
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      has become considerably more complicated than the simple Reps vs Dems script. Both parties have substancial splits in their ranks on the matter. The libertarian faction of the Reps is opposed while the traditionally hawkish faction is in favor. The liberal Democrats are opposed while the leadership is doing the presidential bidding.

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