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View Diary: Anti-Capitalist Meetup: Syria -- Can we talk? (71 comments)

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  •  At this point in time neither side in the Syrian (5+ / 0-)

    conflict are acceptable to the US and it's allies in the region. The only thing to do is to have the fighting continue and hope for more attrition of fighters from both sides. There is certainly historical evidence of this kind of foreign policy by the US government.

    Those of you who have been following events in Syria will have noticed there has been an ebb and flow between the rebels and the government. For a while, the rebels appeared to be making great strides but then their arms supply seemed to dry up and Assad again took the lead. Then as Assad pushed back, there appeared another large shipment.

    With the threat of foreign attack, the Assad regime will not be as strong as before so this will allow the rebels to regain territory they have lost in the last several months and regain the status quo.

    As long as the conflict can be kept contained within Syria, this may well be the best recourse for the US and allies. There are also interests that would not mind if the conflict spilled over into Lebanon.

    If you think this approach is too cynical and callous you can read the following report by the RAND corporation:

    Unfolding the Future of the Long War - 2008 RAND Corporation
    Motivations, Prospects, and Implications for the U.S. Army

    Divide and Rule

    Divide and Rule focuses on exploiting fault lines between the various Salafi-jihadist groups to turn them against each other and dissipate their energy on internal conflicts. This strategy relies heavily on covert action, information operations (IO), unconventional warfare, and support to indigenous security forces. Divide and Rule would be the obvious strategy choice for the “Narrowing of Threat” trajectory as the United States and its local allies could use the nationalist jihadists to launch proxy IO campaigns to discredit the transnational jihadists in the eyes of the local populace. In the “Holding Action” trajectory, Divide and Rule would be an inexpensive way of buying time for the United States and its allies until the United States can return its full attention to the long war. U.S. leaders could also choose to capitalize on the “Sustained Shia-Sunni Conflict” trajectory by taking the side of the conservative Sunni regimes against Shiite empowerment movements in the Muslim world.

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