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View Diary: Maybe the GOP is right where it expects to be. (62 comments)

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  •  a couple of things: (8+ / 0-)

    a) Your premise that Republicans are planning to try to groom young, diverse libertarians and conservatives does seem to be one of the most logical approaches they could take. They do have a few people of color/diversity who fit that mold (Rubio, Cruz, Mel Watt, Susana Martinez). But none of those folks seem to have helped the party make a dent in its national appeal. My bet is that one of those folks will be on the ticket in 2016, if for no other reason, than as a token to create the illusion of diversity. Lets remember, after all, that the Republicans' here-to-fore solution to creating the illusion that they are more diverse than they are is to, every four years, pack the first few rows of seats at the Republican national convention, with the few people of diversity.

    b) Demographic trends may be over-rated, as well. For instance, this kossack remembers living in Texas back in the early 1980's. The demographic trends for that state were much the same as they are for the nation...increasing numers of people of diversity. Those trends, it was said then, would only help Democrats. Meanwhile, more than 40 years later, Democrats are in pretty bad shape in Texas, to the point where they do not have even one statewide elected official and their prospects of getting one any time soon are dubious, at best (although some degree of hope for progress seems to be finally being made). However...my greater point is that demographic trends are one thing...but there's no guarantee that current demographic assumptions will always be true (Republicans are correct, for instance, in their assessment that Blacks and Hispanics are not necessarily monolithic, especially in terms of cultural conservatism; there are strong streaks of cultural conservatism in both of those groups.)

    c) Every seems to keep forgetting about Citizens United. While it's true that money isn't everything in politics, it's also true that it's still one of THE most important factors. It doesn't seem like a coincidence to me at all that at the same time that the Supreme Court voted to allow unlimited amounts of coporate money into politics happened to also coincide with the Republicans' hyper-obstructionism. It seems to me that, once they were given the major advantage of an even larger structural financial advantage than they already had, Republicans simply seem to have come to the conclusion that, whatever they may lack in terms of appeal to voters, they can make up by just purchasing themselves political offices and swaying enough people with all that money to make a difference (and there is ample evidence that they could well be correct). Republicans have always had a structural financial advantage over Democrats, but not as dramatically so as they do now. That can buy them a lot of time.

    •  asdf (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      akze29, scott5js, Icicle68

      a) You're right; they haven't accomplished this, and there's a possibility they can't.

      b) The one surety in the demographic mix is death, and it's a bigger problem for the GOP, because the evidence is that they're not replacing their oldest voters.  The jury is out on whether they can fix that.

      c) I didn't cover money, but you're right.  That's another gum-up-the-works tactic.  The real question will be how much big money they can attract if they're losing critical elections.  

      Après le thé, le déluge. -- Glenn Beck, aka Napoleon XIV

      by mspicata on Fri Sep 13, 2013 at 11:07:10 AM PDT

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    •  That's only 30 years, but more importantly (0+ / 0-)

      Republicans in Texas saw us coming, and put in a gerrymander that will keep them there for a few years more. After which, as soon as they lose and we can undo the gerrymander, they lose big.

      Ceterem censeo, gerrymandra delenda est

      by Mokurai on Fri Sep 13, 2013 at 04:37:24 PM PDT

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    •  Yes. (0+ / 0-)

      Especially c).

      We should never, ever, ever forget that this is really all about money, and money in the hands of a vanishingly small group. If we could only pry our dear Democratic Party away from their love affair with corporations and banks, and get them to notice that poor-to-middle-class people have a lot more votes than rich ones, we could probably make the GOP irrelevant in a decade.

      "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

      by sidnora on Sat Sep 14, 2013 at 04:28:31 AM PDT

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