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View Diary: No, Putin isn't being smart. Obama is running rings around him (253 comments)

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  •  Putin is playing a different game (0+ / 0-)

    This has nothing to do with niceties of UN charters or international laws.  They are props, nothing more, to be brandied or discarded as they prove useful.

    Putin's goals are:

    - to strengthen the international legitimacy of the Assad regime by making it a "partner" in extended and doubtless circular discussions over a CW disarmament that is highly unlikely to happen

    - meanwhile, Russian, Iranian and Hezbollah efforts to strengthen the Syrian regime's military position continue so that, even in worst case of defeat by the rebels, you have no complete collapse and a rump Assad "government" instead remains to go to the bargaining table and defend Russian interests

    - time also works in Putin's favor due to the nature of his opponents; as time goes by memories of the Ghouta attacks will fade and the western public will move on to other things; like boiling a frog, once you have inured the West to video of rows of gassed children, you have prepared them to stomach and ignore further atrocities

    "Hidden in the idea of radical openness is an allegiance to machines instead of people." - Jaron Lanier

    by FDRDemocrat on Wed Sep 11, 2013 at 08:31:36 PM PDT

    •  Problem with your logic (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Notreadytobenice, sviscusi, Brit, Sylv

      Foreign Policy magazine has just reported that the UN will present a very strong circumstantial case that the Assad regime did, in fact, orchestrate the attack and not any rebel forces. This report will come out very soon.

      They will also confirm that it was a chemical weapons attack.

      Putin just overplayed his hand, and then he said we weren't exceptional.

      The real reason he is doing all of this is that he is very worried that Al Qaeda elements might get hold of these weapons and use them...in Chechnya. Perhaps even in Moscow. Use of chemical weapons is usually as a weapon of last resort. Saddam Hussein used them against the Iranians in the 1980-88 Iran/Iraq War. That was probably the one thing that kept him from being overrun by the Iranians. Now, it's Assad's turn. Putin has now fully sided with him and there is no going back.

      •  Forgot about u.n. inspection team. Great link n/t (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Sylv
      •  Putin and the UN report? (0+ / 0-)

        Circumstantial evidence?  We have had all of that for several weeks now.  

        What has Putin done?  He says it is rubbish.  As recently as yesterday he said the rebels committed the attack.  Given the UN report doesn't assign blame, everyone is as free as they were to argue what they please.  

        The UN report will drop and it won't move Putin off his position, which is a political position, not a moral one.

        I agree with you on Al Qaeda fears though.  IF there is a US-Russia agreement to finally partner on a solution, that may be a factor that does it.  No one wants to see a power vacuum and mad rush as jihadis collect these CW...

        "Hidden in the idea of radical openness is an allegiance to machines instead of people." - Jaron Lanier

        by FDRDemocrat on Thu Sep 12, 2013 at 03:55:51 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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