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View Diary: Spoiler Alert: The Shutdown Will End in Republican Defeat. Again. (18 comments)

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  •  That Was a Presidential Election Year When (4+ / 0-)

    moderates turn out in max numbers.

    The next election is over a year away, and it's a midterm, where energizing the extreme base is more important. And that makes extremism in the primary more important as well because more of the extremists can get elected in a midterm.

    They're not repeating themselves, at minimum they've gotten the timing right today.

    We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

    by Gooserock on Mon Sep 30, 2013 at 03:50:23 PM PDT

    •  even 1996 was not a debacle for them (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ahumbleopinion, exNYinTX, scott5js

      they retained control of the House. Their majority continued to erode during 1998 and 2000, but then 9/11 allowed them to regain a huge majority.

      In the meantime they impeached Bill Clinton and made his second term a grueling gauntlet. In the end, they did not lose the House until 2006, and then only for four years.

      For the purposes of Republican obstruction, a one-vote majority is just as good as a twenty-vote majority. The smaller their majority gets, the more unified and extreme they become in response.

      All they need to do is hang on by their fingernails until the political winds change and allow them to sweep back into power. They're extremely tenacious. Like bathroom mildew, you can scrub away most of it, but if you neglect that last little bit for just a couple weeks it comes back with a vengeance.

      "In America, the law is king." --Thomas Paine

      by limpidglass on Mon Sep 30, 2013 at 04:07:26 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Gooserock - I think your analysis is correct (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      All the GOP is concerned about is winning the House in 2014 so they can obstruct the President through the end of his second term. The next election for POTUS is too far away to worry about. The Tea Party is the energy of the GOP base and shutting down the government makes them happy. Meat to the lions.

      "let's talk about that"

      by VClib on Mon Sep 30, 2013 at 04:28:55 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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