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View Diary: Tom Clancy's Dark Legacy (205 comments)

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  •  Early predictions of Soviet collapse (1+ / 0-)
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    We are the principled ones, remember? We don't get to use the black hats' tricks even when it would benefit us. Political Compass: -6.88, -6.41

    by bmcphail on Thu Oct 03, 2013 at 11:27:14 AM PDT

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    •  interesting (1+ / 0-)
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      I hadn't realized someone actually composed such a list.  

      What's notable about it, though, is that most of the predictions were based on very vague and abstract principles -- no freedom, Balkanization, etc.

      But by 1980 (and I don't think much before that) there were very specific indicators that showed the mechanism by which it would collapse, which is very different from merely saying it seem unworkable in the long run.

      One more that I'd forgotten about:  the cohort of leaders that achieved power in WW2 were all dying off, leading to a massive generational shift in attitudes.  For me, that was the real wild card.

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