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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 10/15 (339 comments)

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  •  thanks to both you and Stephen (1+ / 0-)
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    Skaje

    It's a gerrymander that would never happen but I followed mostly what you advised.

    My issue is drawing six 53-55% 2008 Obama districts in the Tampa-St Pete (3) and Orlando (3) areas. That's like D+2. I'm putting them at Likely D but it seems like Lean D is more appropriate, even considering incumbents (Grayson and Castor) and strong challengers (Erlich and Demmings, for instance). But both areas are trending D with more Hispanic growth. I'm guessing Mica could win a 53% Obama district but can Bilirakis win a 53% Obama district that, for him, is mostly new territory? I'd think Bilirakis would have a shot

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