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View Diary: 24% Turnout on Wednesday in October in N.J. (12 comments)

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  •  Since the Senate race polling was pretty accurate, (1+ / 0-)
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    rebel ga

    it's probably safe to assume the same of the Governor's race polls, which have Christie ahead by roughly 30 pts. So it looks likely that Christie won't only beat the 11% margin, he'll double or triple it. Depressing, perhaps, but we are supposed to be the reality-based community.

    •  The difference is that (5+ / 0-)

      There is a public question raising the State Minimum Wage.

      Christie gets an anvil on that one. Buono has more signs out than Booker had and the Wage question has also generated signs. It may be closer than expected.

      •  This diary would be better in an open thread (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        As a general rule of thumb you should have at least three full paragraphs for a diary not three sentences.

        As for what you said, Christie is going to win big and its not going to be close. Most of the pollsters nailed the Senate race so we have good reason to believe that they'll be pretty accurate come November.

        Also lawn signs are a terrible yardstick to use to judge the effectiveness of a campaign mainly because lawn signs can't vote nor do they do a particularly good job at convincing passers by to vote the way the campaign wants them to.

        "There are many causes that I am prepared to die for but none that I am prepared to kill for." - Gandhi

        by billyleeblack16 on Fri Oct 18, 2013 at 08:32:10 PM PDT

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      •  Thanks for the correction for my diary aoeu. (3+ / 0-)
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        Youffraita, murrayewv, llywrch

        Apparently the entire NJ State Legislature is up for election. 80 Assembly seats. This is a big deal as well as the public question to vote on raising the minimum wage.

        That part I understood. From what I've seen, they've been keeping this fact pretty quiet. The Legislature/Or Tues Nov 5th 2013 Is Not Just A NJ Governor's Race

        Brought To You By That Crazed Sociologist/Media Fanatic rebel ga Be The Change You Want To See In The World! Gandhi

        by rebel ga on Fri Oct 18, 2013 at 09:38:35 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I almost wish I lived in NJ. Well, (1+ / 0-)
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          actually, I DO wish I lived in NJ. But right now, so I could vote there.

          I will be voting here (PA) but we don't have any really BIG races this year: not like you guys.

          Still, I figure my vote will counteract some Teahadist redneck's vote, and maybe that is something.

          Irony takes a worse beating from Republicans than Wile E. Coyote does from Acme. --Tara the Antisocial Social Worker

          by Youffraita on Fri Oct 18, 2013 at 11:53:15 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Thanks again aoeu (0+ / 0-)

        I'm adding this about the min wage, to my diary too.

        Brought To You By That Crazed Sociologist/Media Fanatic rebel ga Be The Change You Want To See In The World! Gandhi

        by rebel ga on Fri Oct 18, 2013 at 11:05:31 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Signs mean nothing. (0+ / 0-)

        Well-established by Obama campaign in '08 and '12. For example, Lonegan had a LOT more signs out than Booker. How'd that work out for him?

        And I don't think I'm going out on a limb by observing that public questions rarely, if ever, increase turnout. The only exception that comes to mind is putting an anti-gay question on the ballot in a Bible Belt state.

        •  In a National election you are probably correct. (0+ / 0-)

          New Jersey is an extremely expensive state vis a vis TV ads.

          Lonegan really had no other choice. Booker got mentioned repeatedly in the Star Ledger and the Times of Trenton for free.

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