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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Nov. 2013 election night liveblog thread #9 (232 comments)

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  •  50 precincts remaining (0+ / 0-)

    and Herring is behind by 18,091 votes. Even if he wins them 2 to 1, then there would have to be at least 1085 votes per precinct for him to pull ahead. Of the 2491 precincts already reported the average number of votes for AG was 814, so the vote totals for the outstanding precincts would have to be more than a third again as large (133.9%  of precincts already reported average).

    The greatest trick the GOP ever played was convincing the devil they had a soul to sell.

    by Uncle Cosmo on Tue Nov 05, 2013 at 07:31:24 PM PST

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    •  Two more precincts in (0+ / 0-)

      & Herring gains a net of 120 votes. Not promising.

      The greatest trick the GOP ever played was convincing the devil they had a soul to sell.

      by Uncle Cosmo on Tue Nov 05, 2013 at 07:34:34 PM PST

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      •  Statistically over (0+ / 0-)

        Based on every model I have, he would need to win 104% of all remaining votes to catch and pass.  

        I can't see a method by which it is statistically possible at all now, the trendline held with what I thought when I first posted this...

        Gandhi's Seven Sins: Wealth without work; Pleasure without conscience; Knowledge without character; Commerce without morality; Science without humanity; Worship without sacrifice; Politics without principle

        by Chris Reeves on Tue Nov 05, 2013 at 07:36:13 PM PST

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