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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Herring declares victory in AG's race, but a long road awaits (47 comments)

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  •  Previous VA recount was 123 new votes . . . (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HudsonValleyMark, IM, stevenaxelrod

    the net difference between the new votes added was +37 to McDonnell's total.

    In order to pick up 164 votes, Obenshain is going to need to find more than 200 -- in very GOP friendly areas -- and assume that Herring doesn't pick-up others in Dem areas.

    With the data analysis that was done post-election to uncover votes for both candidates based on undercounts, and a few overcounts due to tabulation errors, I suspect most of the low hanging fruit -- the big vote caches -- have probably been uncovered.  At this stage we are probably looking at very minor shifts and those shifts are likely to add votes to both candidates only on the margins and close to equally.

    • thing to remember democratic vote (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, stevenaxelrod

      Rich northern jurisdictions have transitioned to optical scan paper ballots, where other jurisdictions that are heavily republican still vote on touch screen...

      Recount, the areas where the rep would need to pick up votes have no way to view the intent of the voter...only compare the machine tallies one more time, which has been already viewed with a fine tooth comb during the local canvas...

      In NOVA, the recount can view the actual ballots and see if any where rejected from tabulation due to bad fill in the bubble stuff... So with sheer raw % those catches or ballots would go in the dems favor...

      On equal protection issue it is around the fact that fairfax county extended the amount of time for provisionals to secure their vote... Again there is no directive from the state BoE on that timeline and is up to each individual jurisdiction to set their timeline...  The only timeline for the local boards to met was the Tuesday, 11/12 midnight to report certified results, so it is a moot point... If a board in republican area but an aribatry deadline of Friday, that is on them.

      Takin it to the Streets! time to GOTV

      by totallynext on Thu Nov 14, 2013 at 07:57:32 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Other comment. During the provisional vote (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Glenn Magus Harvey

        Count in northern Viriginia there were two provisional votes that were accepted to be reviewed...when they open the envelope there were no ballots...

        How in the heck did that happen?  The provisional ballot is cast at the precinct, the election judge then accepts the ballot and secures it in the envelope and submits the ballot/envelope to the county board to review during the canvass...  Where are those ballots?  

        Some precicnt election chief needs to explain!

        Takin it to the Streets! time to GOTV

        by totallynext on Thu Nov 14, 2013 at 08:02:47 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  Well, just in case, (0+ / 0-)

        I voted on a fill-in-the-bubble optical-scan paper ballot.

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