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View Diary: Obama polls essentially irrelevant (77 comments)

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  •  The GOP has pulled ahead in the generic (3+ / 0-)

    House ballot, based on a poll released today.

    http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/...

    When the poll showed the GOP down ten points, just a month ago, a diary on that subject claimed the GOP was toast for the midterms.

    "let's talk about that"

    by VClib on Tue Nov 26, 2013 at 03:34:13 PM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  the GOP remains the GOP (0+ / 0-)

      and the ongoing demographic shifts continue to proceed apace.

      i would not bet against the GOP doing something catastrophically stupid, callous, and cruel in public between now and 2014. so far, they have not disappointed.

      the GOP is not necessarily toast in 2014, but i think they are facing a durable headwind, and i think dem control of the house is not at all out of the picture. in the medium run, the GOP is toast, and i would bet hard against them in 2016 because of likely turnout. 2014 is a bit of a tossup this far out, but the upside for dems remains considerable, IMO.

      we'll see.

    •  additionally (0+ / 0-)

      that poll has a 3.5% margin of error, a tiny sample size, done by telephone, and saw the dems fall by 2%, from 51% to 49%.

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