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View Diary: The sudden (and somewhat premature) pundit obsession with 2010 (125 comments)

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  •  Three reasons why it's not 2010 (2+ / 0-)
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    MichaelNY, furiouschads

    -- In 2010, the polling numbers for many Democrats were so bad we were seeing Democratic retirements all over the place as early as mid-2009.  That's not been happening this year.  (We are seeing a number of GOP retirements, including Michele Bachmann's.  Seems that her last win, in a district that had been freshly rearranged so as to have a key Democratic stronghold removed, and against an opponent she outspent 10-to-1, was a bit too close for comfort.)

    -- In 2010, the polling numbers had been bad, and consistently bad, since mid-2009, and were due to various factors that weren't going to change before the 2010 elections.  Right now, the polling numbers have only been bad for about a month, and are bad mostly because of the steady stream of negative coverage of the Obamacare website; as the website improves, the numbers will recover.

    -- In 2010, the Republicans weren't able to shut down the government.  They've already done so once in 2013, and will do so again (as every single Federal worker I know has told me) as soon as next month.  This will cause a replay of October 2013, except this time it will be that much closer to Election Day, and it will be right when Republican congresscritters will be wanting to get out and fundraise to fight off their Koch-funded primary challengers -- a problem most Democratic candidates don't have.

    Visit http://theuptake.org/ for Minnesota news as it happens.

    by Phoenix Woman on Sun Dec 01, 2013 at 07:26:45 PM PST

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