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View Diary: traffic flowing and Obamacare enrollments surging (90 comments)

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  •  Here's how (0+ / 0-)

    Right now, the estimate is that you've got about 390k paying enrollees in ACA.  That figure is actually optimistic, because it includes people who made it all the way through the application and may have "sticker shock" or who want to purchse the policies, but later find they don't have sufficient funds.

    The Administration's worst case scenario for signups for October was 500k.  So, for October AND November you're still at only 80% of October's minimum and again that number may be significantly inflated.

    If you don't reach adquate numbers of new enrollees they system fails because it will not be financially viable.

    Next fall, when the employer mandate kicks in an estimated 30% of companies are expected to push employees off of employer plans and into the exchanges.  If these people (3x more than the private market policy holders who are now complaining) feel they've gotten inferior coverage it will be an electoral nightmare, regardless of how the medicaid expansion has helped the lower classes.

    •  I'd be more worried about the 1.7 million (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      policies cancelled that have to be bought in the next 2 1/2 weeks to get coverage by Jan 1.

      •  I'm worried because we're two of the (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        bunch still stuck in the error stopping us from setting our subsidy amount.  Don't tell me to call the hotline, I've called it 20 times.  They can't get past that point in our account either.  Same error message.  They've promised someone will call us back in 3-5 days (the first promise was a month ago.  We've been "expedited" twice, still no return call).  Tried to contact a local office with navigators but they won't return the call either.  So here I sit, application approved, subsidy letter received and policy chosen.  Just can't get to it.  

      •  Figure (0+ / 0-)

        I had heard they were estimating 7 to 12 million policies were expected to be terminated by 12/31, with cancellations continuing into 2014.

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