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View Diary: California GOP defends its fake health insurance web site (83 comments)

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  •  Destroy them at the polls (33+ / 0-)

    If we can take 3 out of 15 CA GOP House seats while holding our own we'll exceed pundit expectations.  We could take a couple more if we worked at it.

    Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

    by benamery21 on Wed Dec 04, 2013 at 01:40:36 PM PST

    •  Which districts are in play? (7+ / 0-)

      I was already planning on commuting to the CA-17 for Mike Honda's primary...

      •  Mine is! CA-31 (14+ / 0-)

        Gary Miller is only in Congress because of a mistake.

        •  Wow. Right in the middle of LA. I suppose I could (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          wader, pucklady, Losty

          sleep at my brother's place, he's conservative but kind of okay...

        •  Strong candidate? (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          elwior, pucklady

          Mayor of Redlands, I've heard?

          The most violent element in society is ignorance.

          by Mr MadAsHell on Wed Dec 04, 2013 at 03:51:38 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  There is a broad field again (6+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            zapus, Mr MadAsHell, Smoh, elwior, pucklady, Losty

            Leading the field in fundraising on the Dem side is 2012's 3rd place finisher, Pete Aguilar, mayor of Redlands, supported by the DCCC..  However, an EMILY's List backed labor lawyer, Eloise Gomez Reyes, has also raised hundreds of thousands of dollars, and is running to Aguilar's left.  Former Rep Joe Baca is running to Aguilar's right, and Danny Tillman is the African American candidate in the race.  There are power bases behind each of these candidates.  Probably the only thing keeping Dems from repeating their 2012 idiocy is that with an incumbent on the GOP side, there's no strong GOP challenger to take 2nd place in the jungle primary.  

            Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

            by benamery21 on Wed Dec 04, 2013 at 04:54:19 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

      •  GOP House seats in play CA (19+ / 0-)

        There are several Dem seats in play which must be defended as well, but here is a brief overview of GOP seats.

        GOP currently holds: CA-1, 4, 8, 10, 21, 22, 23, 25, 31, 39, 42, 45, 48, 49, 50.

        CA-31, in the Inland Empire, is a PVI D+5 seat which was a casualty of too broad a field of Democrats in the 2012 jungle primary.  The general ended up being two Republicans--OOPS.  This seat will go Dem in 2014, although Cook is being cautious and rates it as only Lean Dem, despite the sitting Republican Congressman.  The several local Dem machines are still squabbling over it, however.

        CA-21, in the Central Valley near Hanford, is a D+2 seat which is 71% Hispanic and 80.7% minority.  It is represented by a freshman Republican (Valadao), from an Azorean (Central Valley says Portagee) dairy family, from Hanford who previously served in the state legislature.  His family background is the equivalent of membership in the squireocracy in the local economy.  He won because we nominated a useless candidate in 2012 (I contributed to that candidate after the nomination, but it was a vain hope).  We have a potentially decent candidate in Amanda Renteria and I expect this race to tighten after she goes into campaign mode, but Cook currently has it as lean GOP.  I am a Renteria contributor.

        CA-10, a little further north, in the Modesto part of the Central Valley, is the 53% minority R+1 seat that Jose Hernandez failed to win last year, despite national backing, and a win here by Obama (Hernandez trailed Obama by 4 points).  The perception in the district that Hernandez was a carpetbagger seems to have enabled local farmer Jeff Denham to hang onto his 2010 seat in 2012.  We have a Michael Eggman as the front-runner on our side.  He has a small almond grove and a large (2000 hives) apiary, and is well known to the farming community.  His mother was a Mexican immigrant, and he is a strong supporter of immigration rights.  He is a proud graduate of Fresno State.  Frankly, he has a tough row to hoe in a mid-term election, he will have to turnout the minority community in high numbers, he may be helped by a slightly better split in that community than Hernandez, as well as a slightly better split in the white farming community, but the turnout is likely to kill him.  I am an Eggman contributor.

        Some other seats, still rated solid R by Cook, are:

        CA-25 (where McKeon may retire), which is an R+3 seat, now primarily Santa Clarita, and Palmdale.  Lee Rogers (a Simi Valley podiatrist) is making another run at the seat, has shown strong fundraising ability, and lost against a 10-term incumbent by a fairly low margin last time.  Also, there is a local council redistricting scandal going on in Palmdale which will probably energize the minority vote there.  If McKeon retires, Lee can probably win this open seat.  Other GOP candidates are lining up to run, supporting the belief that McKeon will call it quits. I am a Rogers contributor.

        CA-45 is an R+7 open seat in Orange County.  To date we do not have a serious candidate, and the bench is not strong.  However, this is a 45% minority seat, if we can recruit the right candidate (well-heeled moderate Asian businessman with a service record would be the profile I'd look for, although young, educated, local minority war hero might also work), we'd have a chance, especially if there is a Dem wave.  Not running anybody serious in an open seat is a serious mistake.

        We should also recruit for Orange County seats in CA-39 R+5 (66% minority), and CA-42 R+10 (54% minority), but the incumbents in both seats are quite strong and success would be unlikely unless they left office for some reason (Obama appointment, maybe).

        Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

        by benamery21 on Wed Dec 04, 2013 at 03:29:50 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

    •  They are already dead. (0+ / 0-)
        •  No, I know. (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Calamity Jean

          Are you aware that in California we Dems have 2/3 of the state house?

          All of the constitutional officers?

          Both Senators?

          We will probably pick up a few seats next year in Congress...we currently have 38 seats to the Republican 15?

          We bucked the trend in 2010 and built on our successes in 2012....and I would would be interested in knowing why I should be concerned about Republicans in California, as I have been active in the CA State Party since 1992, and know the territory.

          Tell me what you know that I don't?

          •  Supermajority plus Brown has done wonders (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Calamity Jean

            for the budget process.  No more stupid articles about trying to get 1 or 2 or 3 Republicans to support something.  No more horse trades with Abel.

            Local reasons:

            I know that only about 50% of those eligible for food stamps in CA are signed up.  I've personally told people (pre-ACA) they were eligible for Healthy Families (SCHIP), and had them told by the agency that they made too little without telling them that made them eligible for Medi-Cal.  I'd like to see full adoption of ACA, and the Republican mis-information campaign isn't helping anything.

            National reasons:
            We don't have a majority in the U.S. House.  CA Republicans are part of why.
            I think 13 seats in the U.S. House for CA's brand of Republicans is far too many.  I'd like the CA Republican party to disappear.  CA is a place where we have the progressive money and population to contest GOP House seats, and make a major contribution to the country not being held hostage by these fools and their ilk.

            Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

            by benamery21 on Thu Dec 05, 2013 at 05:39:33 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  We also have a very active Democratic Party.... (0+ / 0-)

              (yes, our Snap numbers are discouraging...and we could do more to publicize Medi-Cal.)

              And yeah...we do have the ability to turn the red seats blue...we just keep trying, and trying and trying until we win.

              And that is why there is ONE Republican congress guy in LA County.  One.  Buck McKeon.  

              •  I donated to Lee Rogers. "Buck" was my Rep. (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                nanorich, Calamity Jean

                From 2001 until this year.  I also covered almost the same (parts of 5 counties) area as his old district for my work.  Anyway, yes he's LA county only, now (and I moved to Pomona).

                I used to tell people that I lived in a minority district but had an old, white, Mormon, war-mongering Republican banker as my Congressman.  He took the info about having been co-founder of a local bank in Santa Clarita off his website after the financial crisis.  He was a big part of why guaranteed student loans used to cost so much.  His wife used to be, maybe still is, permanantly "on his campaign staff" so that a big part of his family income is from campaign contributions.

                Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                by benamery21 on Thu Dec 05, 2013 at 06:26:54 PM PST

                [ Parent ]

              •  We need to project power into the surrounding area (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                Calamity Jean

                and crush the GOP.  There's an R+7 open seat in OC that nobody's even running for on our side (CA-45).  Ed Royce (CA-39) has a 2/3rds minority population and is still winning handily (the Vietnamese vote helps, but it's mostly about turnout).

                Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                by benamery21 on Thu Dec 05, 2013 at 06:53:13 PM PST

                [ Parent ]

            •  That wouldn't be so good. (0+ / 0-)
              I'd like the CA Republican party to disappear.
              Democrats need a little opposition to keep them honest.  Like a Pomeranian watchdog.  

              "My country, right or wrong; if right, to be kept right; and if wrong, to be set right." -- Sen Carl Schurz 1872

              by Calamity Jean on Fri Dec 06, 2013 at 12:22:55 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  We can hive off some DLCers at that point (0+ / 0-)

                Then they can call themselves moderate Republicans.
                The current brand of CA Republican is as far right as anywhere in the country in many ways.

                Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                by benamery21 on Fri Dec 06, 2013 at 01:13:15 PM PST

                [ Parent ]

          •  I live in Illinois... (0+ / 0-)

            ...and am a retired public employee (City of Chicago).

            `Nuff said?

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