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View Diary: Ann Seltzer has done a 2016 Des Moines Register Iowa Poll (46 comments)

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  •  there is an implied matchup (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    murrayewv, ER Doc, CoyoteMarti

    which is overall favorability of the candidates among all voters

    Clinton is at 50-45

    the various Republicans:

    Jeb 29-44
    Cruz 24-32
    Christie 44-29
    Rand Paul 31-38
    Perry 31-40
    Ryan 40-32
    Santorum 31-36
    Walker 26-26
    Huckabee 39-35

    Clinton has the highest name recognition, and despite polarized politics is at 50%

    most of the Republicans are upside down

    what is interesting is that of those who have competed in a previous Iowa primary NONE have favorable ratings except Huckabee

    Christie is still somewhat unknown, although he was in state in 2012 to campaign for Steve King - I was in Ames for Christie Vilsack the day he appeared.

    "We didn't set out to save the world; we set out to wonder how other people are doing and to reflect on how our actions affect other people's hearts." - Pema Chodron

    by teacherken on Sun Dec 15, 2013 at 07:35:29 PM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  Her favorability among all voters (0+ / 0-)

      doesn't tell us much about how she'll do in a Democratic caucus. The caucus is what makes an Iowa poll interesting. I'll tell a pollster I have a favorable opinion of Hillary but I'm hoping someone runs against her in the primary.

      •  Iowa caucuses depend upon organization (4+ / 0-)

        as of right now, no other Democratic will be close to Clinton in ground organization

        "We didn't set out to save the world; we set out to wonder how other people are doing and to reflect on how our actions affect other people's hearts." - Pema Chodron

        by teacherken on Sun Dec 15, 2013 at 07:49:07 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Resistance is futile. (0+ / 0-)

          Seriously, this poll would be much more interesting if it had Dem matchups or a question like, "Would you prefer Hillary Clinton in the Democratic caucus or another candidate?"
          Then we would know something. 54% of Democrats answered "very favorable." That's a high number but the flip side is that nearly half of Democrats may be looking for someone they like better.

          On the Republican side, all the complaining Democrats did about "the Ryan budget" either had no impact or made him more popular.

    •  I'm surprised that Santorum fell so far (0+ / 0-)

      from his 58-31 down to 31-36.

      That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

      by enhydra lutris on Sun Dec 15, 2013 at 08:38:26 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Huckabee is the one to watch. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      gffish

       It's just me, but I always thought that he would have beaten Obama in 12. He's very affable, and not given to word glitches the way that Romney was, as well as the others of the Christian Right. Santorum and others couldn't hide their disdain of poor people and minorities, but Huckabee can. Huckabee remains a big threat against the Dems in the 16 election to me.

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