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View Diary: Update x2: ACA Signups: 1.7 Million Private, 5.6M Total & Moving Fast!! (112 comments)

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  •  Valid point, but considering that the "7M" figure (4+ / 0-)

    ...never WAS a target in the first place, it's actually all about the PR spin anyway.

    The 7M was actually a projection of how many the CBO expected to enroll, not an actual goal/target. However, it got warped in the press (big shock) so now everyone--both detractors and supporters alike--have it baked into their minds that 7M is the make-or-break number.

    Look at it this way--California has 7.6 million uninsured people all by itself. Suppose they enrolled EVERYONE in the state by 3/31/14 while the other 49 states didn't enroll a single person. Would that make the ACA a success or a failure?

    Answer: 7.6 million people would still have insurance who didn't previously have it, so draw your own conclusion.

    •  Personally, (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Brainwrap, USA Driver, ArcticStones

      I'm pretty confident we'll come close to the original CBO expectations. We might not hit them, but it won't be a mile off. Several million people will have private health insurance who didn't have it before, in addition to all those who qualify for Medicaid.

      But my question was about the states. And from your new reply, I'm guessing the percentages above are based on each state's contribution toward the original CBO estimate (and not on each state's self-assigned goals). If so, that still makes it seem that Kentucky is lagging, when it's been held up as a model for executing exchange policies. Covering any new people at all is a win, of course, but I have to admit I'm a little disappointed to see the state ranked that low against its goal.

      •  Actually, ArcticStones and I had the same question (6+ / 0-)

        ...to the point that he even contacted the CBO to ask about the state breakdown. Their response: They DIDN'T do the state breakdown. No one seems to know where it came from. That is, yes, I have a Yahoo Finance link on the spreadsheet that was my source for the state numbers, but it just says "Source: CMS" (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services), but no one can seem to find the original report with that breakdown.

        Still, I'm working with what numbers I have. KY hoped to hit 220K? Fine, that's the target. Doesn't make much sense, I agree, but there you have it.

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