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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Longtime California Rep. George Miller will retire (40 comments)

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  •  AZ-02 Martha McSally is worrisome. (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    madmojo, benamery21, randallt

    She lost by just 2500 votes in a swing district that contains DM Air Force Base and Ft Huachuca. Americans for Prosperity has been relentlessly running ads linking Obamacare "and the pain it caused Arizona families" to Barber. And Barber made some bad "bipartisan" (blue dog) votes, that pissed off Dems. Will be a close race.

    It is ridiculous to pretend that firing teachers based on student test scores, starting charter schools, giving out vouchers or implementing merit pay will overcome the challenges facing a child living in poverty. -Jersey Jazzman

    by Desert Rose on Tue Jan 14, 2014 at 04:33:49 AM PST

    •  Yep (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      randallt, Woody, Gygaxian

      AZ Dems in general should regularly get major help nationally.  3 of our 5 seats are dangerous Republican targets, they don't have to play defense anywhere (4 safe seats), and unless we turnout voters in our other two (safe) seats, we lose statewide and in Maricopa county.

      Barber is probably in the worst position, even though Kirkpatrick's district is one point redder on PVI.  Sinema probably has things under control, although she's certainly not safe.

      Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

      by benamery21 on Tue Jan 14, 2014 at 06:22:12 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  The Southwestern Strategy (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        benamery21, Gygaxian, JGibson

        Arizona should be the prime target of national Democrats. It's the last piece of the Southwestern Strategy that brought Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico into our camp. And with McCain aging into vulnerability/retirement likelihood, we have a sweet target.

        Meanwhile, a Southeastern Strategy would concentrate on winning over Georgia and South Carolina, and perhaps Tennessee, while winning back North Carolina.

        •  I agree (0+ / 0-)

          All of those states are still swing-y, though.  Nevada and New Mexico are likely to re-elect Republican Governors and Arizona's open Gov seat leans R.  50% of Nevada's 4 House seats and 2 Senate seats are R, when with a little luck it could have been 100% blue.  4 of 7 Colorado house seats are R, when with a little luck it could have been 2.  5 out of 9 of AZ's House seats are blue, but a little bad luck and that could be just 2.

          A big part of AZ's problem has been the appointment by Obama of Jan Brewer as Governor.  The lack of Napolitano's veto let the state legislative climate get out of hand.  Then the nomination of McCain (native son) and Romney (Mormon vote) tilted the state red in 2008 and 2012.

          Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

          by benamery21 on Tue Jan 14, 2014 at 08:24:12 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  I used to be furious that Napolitano threw us (0+ / 0-)

            to the crazies in the legislature. But now that I'm retiring from public education and leaving it to the wolves, I understand. Sometimes you just have to go.

            It is ridiculous to pretend that firing teachers based on student test scores, starting charter schools, giving out vouchers or implementing merit pay will overcome the challenges facing a child living in poverty. -Jersey Jazzman

            by Desert Rose on Thu Jan 16, 2014 at 04:20:40 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

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