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View Diary: Obamacare attacks failing. Health Insurance Marketplace exceeding expectations (70 comments)

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  •  Saw it & skeptical (1+ / 0-)
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    Saw Brainwrap's analysis, but he makes some very heavy duty assumptions that could skew things the Administration's way.  

    Not saying he's wrong, just not ready to accept his analysis.

    As for things going well, the best indicator to me seems to be how much the GOP/Obama are talking about the program.  As soon as things started to get rocky in the fall, the Administration started talking heavily about income inequality and the minimum wage.  They almost seem to avoid discussion of ACA unless forced into it now.  As for the Repubs, they can't talk about it enough.  

    Meanwhile, the President keeps pushing deadlines back for various sectors impacted by the law.  If things were good, I don't think we'd be seeing this dynamic.  Scientific? Hell, No.   Do I put more faith in these indicators than Paul Krugman? You bet.

    •  Glad you read my analysis, and not asking you (2+ / 0-)
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      ybruti, on the cusp accept it at face value...but you actually agree with it.

      You said that you suspect between 500K - 1M "inflation" out of 3.3M.

      OK, that means you suspect it's between 15-30% haven't paid yet. I said that I suspect that it's about 25% (which is actually higher than the NY Times claim, FWIW).

      The more important question isn't WHETHER they've paid or not, it's WHY they haven't paid yet.

      I guess the thing I'm not understanding is what the actual "attack" is...are they saying that a huge percentage of ACA enrollees are deadbeat losers, or are they attacking the exchanges for paperwork issues?

      Both are worth looking into, but as Mokurai noted, it'll be a couple more months before this can be clearly stated.

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