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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 2/24 (302 comments)

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  •  I would be surprised if he didnt retire (0+ / 0-)

    Even before the condo purchase, I felt like he would retire after the Nov. elections.

    As you note, it's a good time for him to leave. Since the GOP will likely keep the House, he can leave on a high note.

    Also, I think managing the House in 2015-2016 will be even more difficult than it is now. There will always be a tea party group to deal with, and they will likely be emboldened to try another shutdown, debt ceiling brinksmanship or even impeachment, especially if the GOP gains seats in the House and/or gains the Senate.

    This will have to somehow be balanced out against the fact that many Reps and Senators will be running in swing districts/states heading into a presidential year, one that could be a strong one for Democrats with Clinton on the ballot.

    I think Boehner will want to avoid  that headache, given the problems he has already had managing the tea party wing the past two sessions.

    •  Why do you think they'll do a shutdown and so on (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      if didn't work last time and they didn't get very far with anything similar last time/

      "Once, at a formal dinner, when [a rich] guest complained about the cost of welfare programs for the poor, Buffett replied tartly, 'I'm a lot more concerned about welfare for the rich.'"--from a book on Warren Buffett

      by bjssp on Mon Feb 24, 2014 at 08:18:51 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Because that's the only way they know (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        wadingo, LordMike

        to deal with Obama. They certainly arent going to genuinely negotiate with him.

        And if GOP gains seats, I think the tea party will feel they have more leverage to use a government shutdown/debt ceiling drama, again, to get further spending cuts, or repeal Obamacare or something else. In this scenario, I'm guessing you will hear some on the right saying that they shutdown the government in 2013, and "look, it didnt even cost in the 2014 midterms."

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