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View Diary: Obama: 'There will be costs' if Russia violates Ukrainian sovereignty (286 comments)

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  •  Why should Putin be allowed to keep Crimea? (1+ / 0-)
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    This is a sovereign part of Ukraine, and he has no right to be there. I don't support war between Ukraine and Russia, but if Russia's troops violate Ukraine's sovereignty, than that's a form of war already. And why would Russia stop at Crimea? Why wouldn't they try to seize Kharkiv, Donetsk, and maybe the entire eastern part of the country as they're at it?

    •  One word: realpolitik (5+ / 0-)

      There's no question of "allowing" Putin to do anything. There is no effective means of forcing Russia to relinquish control of Crimea. Putin appears to have taken control of the entire peninsula without a shot fired, and while he'll have to reckon with the Tatars and any ethnic Ukrainians who choose to take exception with their "new" Russian overlords, he knows as well as President Obama, President Turchynov, President Gul, Chancellor Merkel, and Secretary-General Rasmussen do that Ukraine is unprepared to fight for Crimea and NATO sees no point in it.

      Russia very well may try to seize other parts of Ukraine -- but it knows an incursion into mainland Ukraine carries far greater risks (ethnic Russians tend to be concentrated in the cities, while ethnic Ukrainians in the countryside have been resisting invaders for centuries) for relatively little gain. The worst-case scenario, in which Putin tries to occupy all of Ukraine, is likely to be an all-around disaster.

      Pragmatic progressive. Oregonian, Cascadian, and American. Keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Fri Feb 28, 2014 at 04:40:18 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  It is still unresolved (0+ / 0-)

        The Russian thugs have taken over many state buildings in Crimea, but the final result is unclear - wider autonomy (a referendum is planned for May), a separate unrecognized state, or an attempt to combine with Russia? Will the upcoming presidential campaign take place in Crimea at all? If it is boycotted, it will just be a bigger blow to the pro-Russia crowd, as it will be harder to ever elect a president supported by them.

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